NY - Siena College: Biden +25% (user search)
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  NY - Siena College: Biden +25% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY - Siena College: Biden +25%  (Read 1899 times)
𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
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Posts: 11,337
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« on: July 03, 2020, 04:26:42 PM »
« edited: July 05, 2020, 09:20:03 AM by Battista Minola 1616 »

I know this may seem like a bit of a pointless poll to mull over, but Joe Biden's success in Upstate New York in particular is striking. I'm not entirely sure about this, but I have read somewhere that if Upstate New York was a state, it would have gone for Trump by a very narrow margin, along the lines of his victory in Pennsylvania or Michigan. But in this poll he is up 10 points over Trump 50%-40%. At this point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was only leading Upstate New York 44%-40%.

"Upstate New York" could have gone either to Trump or to Clinton depending on the definition you use. I tend to consider Upstate everything that is not NYC or Long Island, and by my definition Clinton won it. I know many people exclude Rockland and Westchester counties from Upstate, and by that definition Trump won it. I don't know what definition Siena College uses.

By the way, I saw that in the poll Joe Biden is severely underperforming in NYC.
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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,337
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #1 on: July 04, 2020, 12:02:27 PM »

That lead seems low given his national numbers.

All New York polls published this year were Biden+25 or worse save for a Siena College Biden+36 which I think was an outlier because that would instead be VERY HIGH for his national numbers.
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