NY - Siena College: Biden +25%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/SNY0620-Crosstabs_642642.pdf
June 23-25, 2020
806 registered voters
MoE: 3.9%

Biden 57%
Trump 32%
Don't know/no opinion 10%

[wbrocks67]

Their May poll had the same exact spread (57-32).

Really frustrating though - still 11% undecided/other? PUSH PEOPLE, JFC.

[pbrower2a]

As if anyone expected otherwise. New York State will likely end up 61-37 for Biden (undecided usually go ineffectively toward the eventual loser). In most statewide polls, the undecided seem to be on the Right side of the political spectrum. It could be that more traditional conservatives on foreign policy are the undecided this time around in most states. 

[libertpaulian]

This will climb.  Trump isn't improving his lot in New York, especially given the coronavirus outbreak.

[President Johnson]

Joe Biden will easily get more than 60% in New York.

[Senator NewYorkExpress]

Biden should already be over 60% in New York.

Hell, he might actually get over 70% here.

[Mr.Barkari Sellers]

They poll a NY race, King's seat is either gone in redistricting or a D takeover in 2020

[G_Master]

I know this may seem like a bit of a pointless poll to mull over, but Joe Biden's success in Upstate New York in particular is striking. I'm not entirely sure about this, but I have read somewhere that if Upstate New York was a state, it would have gone for Trump by a very narrow margin, along the lines of his victory in Pennsylvania or Michigan. But in this poll he is up 10 points over Trump 50%-40%. At this point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was only leading Upstate New York 44%-40%.

[Devout Centrist]

I know this may seem like a bit of a pointless poll to mull over, but Joe Biden's success in Upstate New York in particular is striking. I'm not entirely sure about this, but I have read somewhere that if Upstate New York was a state, it would have gone for Trump by a very narrow margin, along the lines of his victory in Pennsylvania or Michigan. But in this poll he is up 10 points over Trump 50%-40%. At this point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was only leading Upstate New York 44%-40%.

For reference, Obama in 2012 was up eight in Siena's last poll of Upstate New York

[GeneralMacArthur]

Very important poll.  Now can we get some more from WI/MI/PA/FL/AZ?

[The Corvid Whisperer]

I know this may seem like a bit of a pointless poll to mull over, but Joe Biden's success in Upstate New York in particular is striking. I'm not entirely sure about this, but I have read somewhere that if Upstate New York was a state, it would have gone for Trump by a very narrow margin, along the lines of his victory in Pennsylvania or Michigan. But in this poll he is up 10 points over Trump 50%-40%. At this point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was only leading Upstate New York 44%-40%.

"Upstate New York" could have gone either to Trump or to Clinton depending on the definition you use. I tend to consider Upstate everything that is not NYC or Long Island, and by my definition Clinton won it. I know many people exclude Rockland and Westchester counties from Upstate, and by that definition Trump won it. I don't know what definition Siena College uses.

By the way, I saw that in the poll Joe Biden is severely underperforming in NYC.

[Eraserhead]

That lead seems low given his national numbers.

[The Corvid Whisperer]

That lead seems low given his national numbers.

All New York polls published this year were Biden+25 or worse save for a Siena College Biden+36 which I think was an outlier because that would instead be VERY HIGH for his national numbers.