What would you rate SC-Senate?

[FlyoverCoast]

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=375522.0

Considering this poll from late May has Harrison and Graham tied, what is the current state of the race and how is trumps slump affecting Graham?

[WD]

Safe R, is Graham is loosing Democrats will have atleast 57-59 seats. Although the margin could be interesting, if Biden wins by a big enough margin nationwide I could see this being within 10 points similar to the gubernatorial race in 2018, this is still a waste of time for Dems. Their money is better spent on NC, ME, MT, GA (maybe they can hold Perdue under 65%), KS, and IA.

[RFKFan68]

Likely R.

[walleye26]

Likely R, closer to Safe. Too inelastic.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Likely R, closer to safe. 7% chnace of a flip. It could be close but SC is very inelastic so getting those final votes to put Harrison over the edge will be extremely difficult.

[MillennialModerate]

Why are we wasting our time: Safe R

[Roll Roons]

Likely R, closer to Safe than Lean. Though it's definitely more likely to flip than Kentucky.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Likely R, closer to Safe. Too inelastic.

[Badger]

Likely R, closer to Safe. Too inelastic.

This. Though it is still likely as opposed to safe if only because it is a distinct possibility Lindsay will be outed before election day. If that happens there is going to be a huge Republican undervote compared to Trump.

[Storr]

Safe R is Safe R

[Arson Plus]

Harrison should get the middle 40s or so.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Harrison should get the middle 40s or so.

no lmao

[Arson Plus]

Harrison should get the middle 40s or so.

no lmao

James Smith got 46% after being triaged by the Democrats Governors Committee, so Harrison would get around that, most likely lower.

[dotard]

Very strong likely R. Harrison is running ads in the ATL media market and every time I see one, I roll my eyes.

[Esteemed Jimmy]

Likely R

[Gracile]

I can't see how this is anything other than Safe R. Like KY, this seems like one of those races that's been hyped up because of an unlikable GOP incumbent.

[Calthrina950]

Likely Republican. South Carolina is still a firmly Republican state, and as I've noted elsewhere, has had remarkably little change to its voting patterns since the turn of the century. Harrison may be able to come within single digits, like James Smith did in the 2018 gubernatorial election, but it will be high single digits.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I can't see how this is anything other than Safe R. Like KY, this seems like one of those races that's been hyped up because of an unlikable GOP incumbent.

Impressive challenger and the risk of kompromat leaks against Graham that shouldn't matter but might in this state.

[Consuming is good, it's what we're made for]

I’m going to go against the grain and say Likely R, but less likely than most folks might think. Harrison would certainly have an easier time in a non-Covid election. Not necessarily that he’d win, but he might do better than we’re giving him credit for.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Harrison should get the middle 40s or so.

Too many third party options for that to happen. A 48-40 Graham victory wouldn't be improbable, but if Harrison were able to reach the middle 40s, this race would be a tossup. Given Graham's history of always doing significantly better on election day than he polls, a tied poll indicates he's leading.

[iceman]

Likely R. South Carolina is very partisan and anyone who thinks that DEMS will win this seat is downright delusional.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Leans D Harrison can win

[UWS]

Likely R

[Jumped off the American Sinking Ship]

V. Likely R.

[ND, SD, MT, WY, and ID statehood was and is unconstitutional]

Tilt D, as is the Presidential Race in South Carolina.
2020 is going to be a huge wave year. Think 1932 levels.