Predict Maricopa County, AZ in the next 5 cycles
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Author Topic: Predict Maricopa County, AZ in the next 5 cycles  (Read 877 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: June 29, 2020, 11:22:30 PM »
Maricopa County, AZ is one of the few urban conservative counties left in America.

Trump won Maricopa 47%-44%, 3 points.

How will it go in 2020, 2024, 2028, etc?
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2020, 03:46:51 PM »
Trending Democratic every time.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2020, 06:34:03 PM »
D in 2020. D in 3 of the following 4, narrowly R in 1 of them.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #3 on: June 30, 2020, 06:52:12 PM »
Gretchen Whitmer or Gavin Newsom could carry Maricopa
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #4 on: June 30, 2020, 08:19:02 PM »
D in 2020, D in 2024, R in 2028, D in 2032, D in 2036
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #5 on: July 03, 2020, 04:57:15 PM »
2020: D

2024: D

2028: R

2032: R

2036: D
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S019
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« Reply #6 on: July 03, 2020, 04:59:48 PM »
2020: Biden 51-47 (Biden wins, assuming he picks Harris as VP)
2024: Harris 54-46 (Harris wins)
2028: Harris 56-44 (Harris re-elected)
2032: Dem VP 57-43 (Dem VP wins)
2036: Inc. Dem 59-41 (unsure who wins, as GOP tries to adjust, but AZ absolutely is not part of their path)
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #7 on: July 05, 2020, 01:48:39 AM »
Dem/Dem/Dem/Dem/Dem
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E-Dawg
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« Reply #8 on: July 13, 2020, 01:32:41 AM »
I predict that it will vote for the nationwide winner in 2020. If the GOP countinues its Trumpian brand the county will likely vote Democrat the next four elections, but the GOP cpuld reclaim the county if they change their brand.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2020, 07:01:01 PM »
2020: Biden 52, Trump 45 (Biden wins)
2024: Republican 49, Democrat 48 (Republican defeats Biden's VP)
2028: Republican 51, Democrat 47 (Republican re-elected)
2032: Democrat 52, Republican 46 (Democrat defeats Republican VP)
2036: Democrat 51, Republican 47 (Democrat re-elected)
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