If you could go back in time to Fall 2018...

[Tekken_Guy]

What advice would you give each party on their campaigns?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

"Several Senators are about to try to launch their presidential campaigns by turning Kavanaugh's nomination into a culture war. You need to get Feinstein to report this to the FBI before they start a fight with McConnell on the floor of Congress."

[wesmoorenerd]

Don't ignore fundamentals. Flips in the House and the Senate align pretty closely with 2016 margins.

Dems: don't ignore Bill Nelson, damn it!

[ProgressiveModerate]

-Don't take Bill Nelson winning re-election for granted
-Partisanship will win out for the most part
-Most house pick ups will be in suburban areas
-Many trends seen in 2016 will continue

[WD]

Tell Nelson to get off his ass and campaign like he means it. We may not have won the senate in 2018, but holding his seat would make flipping the Senate this year a whole lot easier.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

To have Obama camp out in Florida for all of October and direct all DSCC spending from ND and IN to Florida

[WD]

To have Obama camp out in Florida for all of October and direct all DSCC spending from ND and IN to Florida

If Nelson had won and the Senate was currently 52R-48D how much higher would the chances of it flipping be?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

To have Obama camp out in Florida for all of October and direct all DSCC spending from ND and IN to Florida

If Nelson had won and the Senate was currently 52R-48D how much higher would the chances of it flipping be?

CO->D & AL->R are guaranteed flips.
AZ (flip) and MI, MN, and NH (hold) are likely D.
ME (flip) is lean D.

With Nelson holding, the Senate would be lean D. I judge it runs through several tilt D states.

[WD]

To have Obama camp out in Florida for all of October and direct all DSCC spending from ND and IN to Florida

If Nelson had won and the Senate was currently 52R-48D how much higher would the chances of it flipping be?

CO->D & AL->R are guaranteed flips.
AZ (flip) and MI, MN, and NH (hold) are likely D.
ME (flip) is lean D.

With Nelson holding, the Senate would be lean D. I judge it runs through several tilt D states.

It’s a damn shame Nelson didn’t make it. If he had the Senate would probably a lock by now, just win AZ, CO ( which are all but guaranteed) and flip 1 of MT, ME, NC, GA-R, GA-S, and KS.

We’re favored in the Senate now imo, but we’d be in a much stronger position if we held that seat. If we come up short in the Senate, it’s beacuse of Nelson loosing. Probably the most disappointing part of 2018.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

To have Obama camp out in Florida for all of October and direct all DSCC spending from ND and IN to Florida

If Nelson had won and the Senate was currently 52R-48D how much higher would the chances of it flipping be?

At least Lean D (>65% odds)