Which of these senators are in their final term?
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  Which of these senators are in their final term?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which of the following U.S. Senators are serving their final term in office?
#1
Richard Shelby		  
#2
Lisa Murkowski		  
#3
Kyrsten Sinema		  
#4
John Boozman		  
#5
Dianne Feinstein		  
#6
Kamala Harris		  
#7
Michael Bennet		  
#8
Richard Blumenthal		  
#9
Chris Murphy		  
#10
Tom Carper		  
#11
Marco Rubio		  
#12
Rick Scott		  
#13
Brian Schatz		  
#14
Marie Hirono		  
#15
Mike Crapo		  
#16
Tammy Duckworth		  
#17
Todd Young		  
#18
Mike Braun		  
#19
Chuck Grassley		  
#20
Jerry Moran		  
#21
Rand Paul		  
#22
John Neely Kennedy		  
#23
Angus King		  
#24
Ben Cardin		  
#25
Chris Van Hollen		  
#26
Elizabeth Warren		  
#27
Debbie Stabenow		  
#28
Amy Klobuchar		  
#29
Roger Wicker		  
#30
Roy Blunt		  
#31
Josh Hawley		  
#32
Jon Tester		  
#33
Deb Fischer		  
#34
Catherine Cortez Masto		  
#35
Jacky Rosen		  
#36
Maggie Hassan		  
#37
Bob Menendez		  
#38
Martin Heinrich		  
#39
Chuck Schumer		  
#40
Kirsten Gillibrand		  
#41
Richard Burr		  
#42
John Hoeven		  
#43
Kevin Cramer		  
#44
Sherrod Brown		  
#45
Rob Portman		  
#46
James Lankford		  
#47
Ron Wyden		  
#48
Bob Casey		  
#49
Pat Toomey		  
#50
Sheldon Whitehouse		  
#51
Tim Scott		  
#52
John Thune		  
#53
Marsha Blackburn		  
#54
Ted Cruz		  
#55
Mike Lee		  
#56
Mitt Romney		  
#57
Pat Leahy		  
#58
Bernie Sanders		  
#59
Tim Kaine		  
#60
Patty Murray		  
#61
Maria Cantwell		  
#62
Joe Manchin		  
#63
Ron Johnson		  
#64
Tammy Baldwin		  
#65
John Barrasso		  
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Total Voters: 49

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Author Topic: Which of these senators are in their final term?  (Read 1848 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: June 28, 2020, 09:39:38 PM »
Of the 65 senators not up for re-election this year, who do you believe is likely serving their final term?
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Heir of Camelot
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« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2020, 10:36:42 PM »
Bonus answer.

None of them. Until term limits are enacted. Tester is a popular pick but he's already campaigning for 2024.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2020, 10:38:04 PM »
Feinstein and Grassley likely retire.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2020, 10:51:50 PM »
It's Mazie Hirono, not Marie.
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Heir of Camelot
heirofCamelot
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« Reply #4 on: June 28, 2020, 10:52:02 PM »
Feinstein is not retiring. She's the Dem female Strom Thurmond.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #5 on: June 28, 2020, 11:50:20 PM »
Harris isn't even going to finish this term because she'll be Vice President.

I don't think Rubio's going to run for reelection (he's not going to risk losing ahead of a 2024 Presidential run)

Klobuchar's going to get primaried out in her next bid.

I'm pretty sure Richard Burr, Ron Johnson and Tim Scott have all said that they aren't running for reelection.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #6 on: June 28, 2020, 11:56:37 PM »
Didn't Burr, Toomey and Johnson all vow on their mother's grave they would retire at the end of their term if reelected in 2016?
Not to mention Rubio the "private citizen".

Otherwise just Grassley, the man's an ambulating corpse.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2020, 12:06:02 AM »
Shelby, Grassley, Johnson, Toomey and Burr are definitely if things go according to plan are definitely retirement prone, since their are subject to tough races in 2022. Shelby and Grassley might retire since Rs are in the minority, but the others are definitely gone due to Toomey run for Gov against Shapiro.  Johnson and Burr already announced retirements
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2020, 01:18:51 AM »
I’d say the ones most likely to be defeated if they seek reelection:

Joe Manchin
Maggie Hassan
Sherrod Brown
Jon Tester
Ted Cruz
Rick Scott
Debbie Stabenow
Pat Toomey
Tammy Baldwin
Catherine Cortez-Masto

(in about that order)
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Astatine
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« Reply #9 on: June 30, 2020, 07:28:54 AM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 28, 2020, 11:50:20 PM
Klobuchar's going to get primaried out in her next bid.

Why and by whom?
Klobuchar is still the most popular politician in whole Minnesota. She probably will be primaried and won't win with the usual 90%+ margins, but can't see her losing as of now.
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walleye26
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« Reply #10 on: June 30, 2020, 03:13:38 PM »
Grassley and Feinstein may  die in office. They are both in their 80s.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #11 on: July 02, 2020, 09:18:29 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on June 29, 2020, 01:18:51 AM
I’d say the ones most likely to be defeated if they seek reelection:

Joe Manchin
Maggie Hassan
Sherrod Brown
Jon Tester
Ted Cruz
Rick Scott
Debbie Stabenow
Pat Toomey
Tammy Baldwin
Catherine Cortez-Masto

(in about that order)
I agree for the most part, though I feel that Debbie Stabenow and Tammy Baldwin will hang on until 2030 if Joe Biden is elected and his Vice President is elected/re-elected in 2024 and 2028. As for Catherine Cortez-Masto, I can see her surviving in office until 2028 or so depending on how Nevada trends politically. It is also possible that she will become a lifer in the Senate and remain in office for decades.

I would say that Joe Manchin, Sherrod Brown, and Jon Tester will lose by the biggest margins out of the ones on the list. Jon Tester will probably lose to Donald Trump Jr. as well, as he has toyed with the idea of moving to Montana to run against Jon Tester. As for Sherrod Brown, he will probably lose to either Jim Jordan or Steve Chabot, and Joe Manchin will be defeated by either Alex Mooney or Carol Miller.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #12 on: July 02, 2020, 09:26:47 AM »
Quote from: MATTROSE94 on July 02, 2020, 09:18:29 AM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on June 29, 2020, 01:18:51 AM
I’d say the ones most likely to be defeated if they seek reelection:

Joe Manchin
Maggie Hassan
Sherrod Brown
Jon Tester
Ted Cruz
Rick Scott
Debbie Stabenow
Pat Toomey
Tammy Baldwin
Catherine Cortez-Masto

(in about that order)
I agree for the most part, though I feel that Debbie Stabenow and Tammy Baldwin will hang on until 2030 if Joe Biden is elected and his Vice President is elected/re-elected in 2024 and 2028. As for Catherine Cortez-Masto, I can see her surviving in office until 2028 or so depending on how Nevada trends politically. It is also possible that she will become a lifer in the Senate and remain in office for decades.

I would say that Joe Manchin, Sherrod Brown, and Jon Tester will lose by the biggest margins out of the ones on the list. Jon Tester will probably lose to Donald Trump Jr. as well, as he has toyed with the idea of moving to Montana to run against Jon Tester. As for Sherrod Brown, he will probably lose to either Jim Jordan or Steve Chabot, and Joe Manchin will be defeated by either Alex Mooney or Carol Miller.

Junior is not especially well-liked among Republicans nationally and would probably be a crap candidate anywhere, let alone as a MT-SEN carpetbagger. Depending on the environment he ran in, he could easily meet the same fate as Maryland Matt. At least Jersey Greg could tap into authentic populism with a bodyslam or two.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: July 02, 2020, 09:32:51 AM »
If Jones hangs on, which is a possibility,  Rs are gonna force Shelby to retire. JD Scholter may run for Gov or Senator. Toomey, Johnson and Burr are done
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andjey
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« Reply #14 on: July 02, 2020, 09:52:58 AM »
Richard Shelby - will retire in 2022
Dianne Feinstein - will retire in 2024    
Kamala Harris - will resign in 2020 to be VP or Cabinet member    
Tom Carper - will retire in 2024   
Rick Scott - will retire in 2024 to run for President or will lose in 2024    
Marie Hirono   - will retire in 2024
Chuck Grassley - will retire in 2022       
Angus King - will retire in 2024   
Ben Cardin - will retire in 2024    
Roger Wicker - will retire in 2024       
Bob Menendez - will retire or lose primary in 2024   
Richard Burr - will retire in 2022 or resign in late 2020   
Ron Wyden - will retire in 2022
Pat Toomey - will retire or lose reelection in 2022   
Ted Cruz - will lose reelection in 2024   
Mitt Romney   - will retire in 2022   
Bernie Sanders - will retire in 2024   
Joe Manchin   - will retire in 2024
Ron Johnson - will retire in 2022
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PAK Man
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« Reply #15 on: July 02, 2020, 11:33:07 AM »
Nobody's really mentioning John Neely Kennedy, but I think he's made it very clear that he doesn't like Washington. Which I find hilarious since he spent over a decade trying to get elected to the senate (both as a Democrat and a Republican) and now that he's in it, he supposedly hates it. People said he was considering running for governor in 2019, and if that was true, then he was willing to give up his term midway through for it.
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cwt
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« Reply #16 on: July 03, 2020, 02:00:21 PM »
Quote from: АndriуValeriovich on July 02, 2020, 09:52:58 AM

Mitt Romney   - will retire in 2022   


You don't think Romney will even finish his first term?
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MarkD
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« Reply #17 on: July 03, 2020, 09:24:38 PM »
I voted Shelby, Feinstein, Carper, Rubio, Grassley, Paul, Cardin, Burr, Toomey, Cruz, Leahy, Sanders, Murray, Manchin, and Johnson.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #18 on: July 03, 2020, 10:03:56 PM »
My predictions

Shelby (retires in 2022)
Boozman (retires in 2022)
Feinstein (retires in 2024)
Harris (elected Vice President)
Blumenthal (retires in 2022)
Carper (retires in 2022)
Rubio (retires in 2022)
Rick Scott (runs for president in 2024)
Hirono (retires in 2024)
Grassley (retires in 2022)
J.N. Kennedy (retires in 2022)
Blunt (retires in 2022)
King (retires in 2024)
Cardin (retires in 2024)
Warren (appointed to Biden’s Cabinet in 2021)
Stabenow (retires in 2024)
Wicker (retires in 2024)
Tester (defeated in 2024)
Menendez (retires in 2024)
Burr (retires in 2022)
Brown (defeated in 2024)
Wyden (retires in 2022)
Toomey (runs for governor in 2022)
Cruz (runs for president in 2024)
Romney (retires in 2024)
Leahy (retires in 2022)
Murray (retires in 2022)
Manchin (retires in 2024)
Johnson (retires in 2022)
Baldwin (appointed to Biden’s Cabinet in 2023)
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