NY-02: Jackie Gordon vs. Andrew Garbarino: Who wins?
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  NY-02: Jackie Gordon vs. Andrew Garbarino: Who wins?
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Poll
Question: Who wins this matchup?
#1
Andrew Garbarino (R-Sayville)
 
#2
Jackie Gordon (D-Copiague)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 62

Author Topic: NY-02: Jackie Gordon vs. Andrew Garbarino: Who wins?  (Read 1798 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: April 06, 2020, 09:48:30 PM »
« edited: April 06, 2020, 10:00:40 PM by bronz4141 »

Long Island Democrat Jackie Gordon is the likely Democratic nominee. New York Assemblyman Andrew Garbarino is the likely Republican nominee. Who wins?

Gordon would be the first black woman to be a congresswoman from historically racially polarized suburban Long Island.

http://islipbulletin.net/islipbulletin/stories/jackie-gordon-is-the-democrats-choice-for-peter-kings-seat,85185

http://islipbulletin.net/stories/republicans-choose-sayvilles-andrew-garbarino-to-run-for-peter-kings-seat,85184

Andrew Garbarino (Republican) 51%
Jackie Gordon (Democratic) 49%

R HOLD

Would NY-02 be eliminated in 2022? A lot of people are leaving LI and I wonder if Democrats would want to eliminate this seat or do something with it.
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S019
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« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2020, 09:58:02 PM »

This is still a lean Republican seat, so the Republican
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2020, 10:16:56 PM »

Lean Garbarino.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2020, 11:42:52 AM »

Garbarino wins 51%-48%
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2020, 12:04:28 PM »

Gordon. Not confident about it, but my gut pick based on the environment.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2020, 12:51:06 PM »

Pure tossup. There's a lot of uncertainty here, seeing as we haven't seen a single poll from this district.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2020, 02:39:07 PM »

Tilt D
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2020, 02:53:30 PM »

Garbarino, narrowly.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2020, 02:55:30 PM »

Very tilt D
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2020, 03:04:22 PM »

Gordon. Not confident about it, but my gut pick based on the environment.

I think law and order wins the day there on LI. That's all they talk about on LI is anti-Black Lives Matter and pro-police rhetoric.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2020, 09:00:11 AM »

Gordon, narrowly.

This district leans Republican but the margins that Biden will have in northern suburbs like here will be enough to push Gordon over the line.
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W
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2020, 05:47:12 PM »

Tilt D
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Badger
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« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2020, 11:00:08 PM »

Wow! I'm gathering the vote will be as close as this poll.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2020, 06:23:14 AM »

Garbarino by a hair. I could see either win.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2020, 12:05:01 PM »

Final prediction: Garbarino +0.4.
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Storr
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2020, 02:33:04 PM »

I'm bullish that suburban trends will affect even Long Island: Gordon wins
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AGA
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 09:44:34 PM »

I'm guessing Garbarino by a hair.
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