Is it reasonable to say GA Senate Regular is more likely to flip than GA special?

[ctrepublican512]

Is it reasonable to say GA Senate Regular is more likely to flip than GA special?

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Neither. It's not unreasonable, but I disagree.

[ctrepublican512]

Is it reasonable to say GA Senate Regular is more likely to flip than GA special?

**really thinking about the candidates in this equation**

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, but since both will go to a runoff, its foreseeable that both will go D, Perdue had to do all he could to defeat Nunn in an R wave yr in 2014. That says alot, how vulnerable Perdue is.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I think that's fair. Here's why. If Biden wins in a landslide, and carries GA , GA regular could flip, if Ossoff is able to get 50% of the vote. GA-S is almost guarenteed to go to a run off election. A Trump victory seems far less likely than a Biden victory at this point, and during a Biden victory, I almost guarentee you the GOP would come out in full force to win that senate seat, especially in a very divided state like GA. In a Trump victory, D probably have a 48-52 R senate so even if they won, it wouldn't help them much in the short term, especially since they have another shot at it in 2022. Also, in GA, midterm turnout is always bad on the Ds side.

[RFKFan68]

Idk but folks, Please don’t evoke the 2008 run off in your answer.

[ON Progressive]

Not only is it reasonable, this is actually my opinion. Until I see evidence suggesting otherwise, I’m not going to trust runoff elections in Georgia.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Not only is it reasonable, this is actually my opinion. Until I see evidence suggesting otherwise, I’m not going to trust runoff elections in Georgia.

Once the vote is in and Trump is a lame duck after Nov, Ds will win the runoff, no coattails. If Trump wins, the GA Rs will have Trump coattails, but that is unlikely since Trump is behind by double digits in PA, Michigan and WI

[JRP1994]

Dems don't win runoffs in Georgia. It's hard enough to get enough Dems to the polls to finish in first place the first time, let alone getting them BACK out again for a runoff in a few weeks time.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Dems don't win runoffs in Georgia. It's hard enough to get enough Dems to the polls to finish in first place the first time, let alone getting them BACK out again for a runoff in a few weeks time.

Again, if Trump loses and becomes a lame duck, Dems will win the run off, if Trump wins, the Rs will hold the Senate races. The Protests will continue and since votes wont be certified until Jan, ATL is where the protests started

[For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law]

Unless Trump wins, then I would agree that GA-R is more likely to flip.

[RFKFan68]

Dems don't win runoffs in Georgia. It's hard enough to get enough Dems to the polls to finish in first place the first time, let alone getting them BACK out again for a runoff in a few weeks time.

There has not been a top of the ticket run off election with the new coalition of Georgia Dems + a candidate willing to lean in to the party's Black base. Warnock vs. Collins run off would be a tossup.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Dems don't win runoffs in Georgia. It's hard enough to get enough Dems to the polls to finish in first place the first time, let alone getting them BACK out again for a runoff in a few weeks time.

I see some Ds are still I'm a 278 EC mindset after numerous polls show this is a 413 map and TX is in play. Ds are capitalizing on 13 percent unemployment like 2006, 08, and 10 when Comgress and Prez flipped with 10 percent unemployment