NYTimes/Siena: Kelly+9, Peters+10, Cunningham+3 (AZ,MI,NC)
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  NYTimes/Siena: Kelly+9, Peters+10, Cunningham+3 (AZ,MI,NC)
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Author Topic: NYTimes/Siena: Kelly+9, Peters+10, Cunningham+3 (AZ,MI,NC)  (Read 1856 times)
n1240
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« on: June 25, 2020, 04:18:48 AM »

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/25/us/politics/trump-senate-republicans-poll.html

AZ:

Kelly 47
McSally 38

MI:

Peters 41
James 31

NC:

Cunningham 42
Tillis 39

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Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2020, 04:41:40 AM »

Harrison now has a better chance than John James
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2020, 05:28:27 AM »

AZ:
June 8-16, 2020
650 registered voters
MoE: 4.3%

Kelly 47%
McSally 38%
Undecided/don't know 14%
Another candidate 1%
Would not vote 1%

MI:
June 8-17, 2020
610 registered voters
MoE: 4.3%

Peters 41%
James 31%
Undecided/don't know 24%
Would not vote 4%
Another candidate 1%

NC:
June 8-18, 2020
653 registered voters
MoE: 4.1%

Cunningham 42%
Tillis 39%
Another candidate 1%
Would not vote 1%
Undecided 17%
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: June 25, 2020, 05:41:34 AM »

The amount of undecideds in MI and NC is a bit ridiculous, but the margins line up with everything else we've been seeing.

Favorabilities:

Mark Kelly: 50/28 (+22)
Martha McSally: 44/45 (-1)

Gary Peters: 40/28 (+12)
John James: 36/29 (+7)

Cal Cunningham: 36/17 (+19)
Thom Tillis: 42/35 (+7)
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Orser67
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« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2020, 07:17:38 AM »

Cunningham running six points behind Biden (NYTimes/Siena has NC at 49-40 for the presidential election) is moderately concerning.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2020, 07:47:49 AM »

Cunningham running six points behind Biden (NYTimes/Siena has NC at 49-40 for the presidential election) is moderately concerning.

That's what my first thought was, but it seems to be a name rec issue: Tillis is at 39 and Trump is at 40, so it's not like he's doing better than Trump
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #6 on: June 25, 2020, 08:48:17 AM »

Cunningham running six points behind Biden (NYTimes/Siena has NC at 49-40 for the presidential election) is moderately concerning.

Normally I'd agree, but for better or worse, Cunningham is basically Generic D.  As such, it makes sense since his name recognition is probably always gonna be a little lower than Biden's.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: June 25, 2020, 09:51:45 AM »

James being at nearly in the 20's in this poll... you just love to see it
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: June 25, 2020, 10:53:38 AM »

McSally is only up by 5 in "Rest of Arizona"
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: June 25, 2020, 11:23:28 AM »
« Edited: June 25, 2020, 12:59:23 PM by Landslide Lyndon »

This must be the first poll in years that finds Tillis with positive favorables.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #10 on: June 25, 2020, 12:54:58 PM »

James being at nearly in the 20's in this poll... you just love to see it

Wait until SN comes in and says "41 is a terrible number for an incumbent!" as if 31 is a better place to be for anyone.
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Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: June 25, 2020, 01:00:47 PM »

OPs dont understand if you take the Gary Johnson vote away from AZ, FL, MI, MN, NV, NH, NC, PA and WI, Ds win and AZ and FL win won by 3 pts, the exact number of Jill Stein and Gary Johnson vote.

Texas will also be competetive,  Abbott is just as popular as Bush W and he ran against Valdez and not White. Cruz barely won by 2. Without any Greg Abbott on ballot, Trump is unpopular in TX

Gary Johnson was just as much of a spoiler as Nadar, see ya later.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #12 on: June 25, 2020, 01:35:36 PM »

Cunningham running six points behind Biden (NYTimes/Siena has NC at 49-40for the presidential election) is moderately concerning.
Not happening.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: June 25, 2020, 05:19:49 PM »

Believable. McSally remains DOA, Peters is incredibly lucky that he’s running in a massive Democratic wave environment, and I wouldn’t be too quick to assume that Tillis is guaranteed to underperform Trump.
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Yoda
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« Reply #14 on: June 25, 2020, 09:45:47 PM »

It's really nice to see Peters' reelection moving into safe territory.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #15 on: July 18, 2020, 10:48:02 PM »

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by Siena Research Institute on 2020-06-16

Summary: D: 47%, R: 38%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #16 on: July 18, 2020, 10:49:07 PM »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by Siena Research Institute on 2020-06-17

Summary: D: 41%, R: 31%, U: 28%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #17 on: July 18, 2020, 10:50:17 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Siena Research Institute on 2020-06-18

Summary: D: 42%, R: 39%, U: 18%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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