Biden +11 in MI, +11 in WI, +10 in PA, +6 in FL, +7 in AZ, +9 in NC
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Biden +11 in MI, +11 in WI, +10 in PA, +6 in FL, +7 in AZ, +9 in NC
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Author Topic: Biden +11 in MI, +11 in WI, +10 in PA, +6 in FL, +7 in AZ, +9 in NC  (Read 3871 times)
Devout Centrist
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« on: June 25, 2020, 04:04:52 AM »

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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2020, 04:10:12 AM »

that's a bruh moment
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2020, 04:11:14 AM »

Ugh.

The long anticipated NYT/Siene polls. Look great, especially with Biden is close to or at 50%. Disastrous for Mr. Trump. Down 9 in NC and 7 in AZ, despite favorable sample in latter. #TrumpCollapse
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: June 25, 2020, 04:18:20 AM »

That's a lead, man. Rejected Don!
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ctrepublican512
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« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2020, 04:19:02 AM »

nut

#TeflonJoe #46
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2020, 04:20:41 AM »

Good news for Biden, the Prez is only 130 days away. There is no way for Trumpians to keep claiming PA is a Tilt R state, any longer
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n1240
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« Reply #6 on: June 25, 2020, 04:25:55 AM »

These were conducted a week prior to their national poll FYI.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: June 25, 2020, 04:36:42 AM »

Even if they were Trump has lost his edge
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: June 25, 2020, 04:54:13 AM »

Damn, imagine if uncle Joe wasn't a deeply flawed candidate running a deeply flawed campaign.
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BlueGrassKentuckian
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« Reply #9 on: June 25, 2020, 05:00:12 AM »

Some of these numbers are close to 2008 numbers or even higher.  If these margins hold (I have a feeling that many of those undecideds are going to go to Trump), Biden will probably be also winning by <1 in Georgia, 1-2 in Ohio and Iowa.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: June 25, 2020, 05:03:19 AM »

We already know that Trump cannot win without AZ, AZ is going the way of VA
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ugabug
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« Reply #11 on: June 25, 2020, 05:24:08 AM »

Nice to see that PA is in line with MI and WI.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #12 on: June 25, 2020, 05:30:22 AM »

I'd feel more comfortable if they showed Biden with 50%+, but I'll take it. Good news.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #13 on: June 25, 2020, 05:34:15 AM »

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #14 on: June 25, 2020, 05:34:20 AM »

AZ:
June 8-16, 2020
650 registered voters
MoE: 4.3%

Biden 48%
Trump 41%
Undecided/don't know 8%
Another candidate 2%
Would not vote 2%

FL:
June 8-18, 2020
651 registered voters
MoE: 4.6%

Biden 47%
Trump 41%
Undecided/don't know 7%
Another candidate 2%
Would not vote 2%


MI:
June 8-17, 2020
610 registered voters
MoE: 4.3%

Biden 47%
Trump 36%
Undecided/don't know 9%
Would not vote 5%
Another candidate 3%

NC:
June 8-18, 2020
653 registered voters
MoE: 4.1%

Biden 49%
Trump 40%
Another candidate 3%
Would not vote 1%
Undecided/don't know 7%

PA:
June 8-16, 2020
651 registered voters
MoE: 4.2%

Biden 50%
Trump 40%
Another candidate 2%
Would not vote 1%
Undecided/don't know 6%

WI:
June 8-15, 2020
655 registered voters
MoE: 4.3%

Biden 51%
Trump 42%
Another candidate 5%
Would not vote 2%
Undecided/don't know 3%
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #15 on: June 25, 2020, 05:37:24 AM »

Once again, 2016 this is not:

ARIZONA
Trump approval: 42/55 (-13)
Trump fav: 43/55 (-12)
Biden fav: 46/48 (-2)

FLORIDA
Trump approval: 43/54 (-11)
Trump fav: 43/55 (-12)
Biden fav: 47/47 (=)

MICHIGAN
Trump approval: 41/55 (-14)
Trump fav: 42/55 (-13)
Biden fav: 50/45 (+5)

NORTH CAROLINA
Trump approval: 45/52 (-7)
Trump fav: 44/52 (-8)
Biden fav: 51/46 (+5)

PENNSYLVANIA
Trump approval: 41/56 (-15)
Trump fav: 42/56 (-14)
Biden fav: 50/48 (+2)

WISCONSIN
Trump approval: 41/56 (-15)
Trump fav: 43/56 (-13)
Biden fav: 53/45 (+8)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #16 on: June 25, 2020, 05:38:59 AM »

Shocker! It looks like Trump picking a fight with Michigan was - surprisingly - a terrible move by him!

A high-profile clash with Gov. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan encapsulates the presidentís challenge. Mr. Trump sided with protesters who opposed her stay-at-home orders, but voters in the state oppose the protests against social distancing restrictions by 57 percent to 37 percent.

As of now, 59 percent of voters in Michigan disapprove of Mr. Trumpís handling of the coronavirus, the highest level of disapproval in any battleground state polled. And nearly 40 percent of registered voters there, including 11 percent of Republicans, say he has treated their state worse than others in response to the pandemic.
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American2020
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« Reply #17 on: June 25, 2020, 05:43:56 AM »

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #18 on: June 25, 2020, 05:44:34 AM »

MI-PRES: lean D -> likely D.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #19 on: June 25, 2020, 05:49:39 AM »

It's SO nice to see a high quality PA poll. And interestingly enough, the race hasn't changed much since Fox's +8 poll in April.

Plus, Biden hitting 50 in PA is also great.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #20 on: June 25, 2020, 05:53:25 AM »

With minimal crossover voting these days, this looks to be a bloodbath for Republicans up and down the ballot.   
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #21 on: June 25, 2020, 06:12:30 AM »

You could argue that the undecideds lean Trump, but Nate says that his approval with them is 29/56, which is just horrific... so at best you could probably see a draw.
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Buzz
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« Reply #22 on: June 25, 2020, 06:31:38 AM »

This is definitely getting a bump come 11/3.  Even if Trump loses these numbers are gonna be wayyyyyyy off.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #23 on: June 25, 2020, 06:37:49 AM »

This is definitely getting a bump come 11/3.  Even if Trump loses these numbers are gonna be wayyyyyyy off.

I expect the margins to narrow as we march towards Election Day, but I keep hearing about these "Trump bumps" that never seem to materialize -- from white backlash to economic recovery. 
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Zache
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« Reply #24 on: June 25, 2020, 06:46:26 AM »



Own goals, you hate to see it.
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