OH-Quinnipiac: Biden +1
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  OH-Quinnipiac: Biden +1
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Author Topic: OH-Quinnipiac: Biden +1  (Read 3176 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 24, 2020, 01:00:36 PM »

https://poll.qu.edu/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=3665

Biden 46%
Trump 45%

Favorables:
Biden: 42/45
Trump: 43/53
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2020, 01:01:36 PM »

Man, you guys are quick lol. I was about to post this.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2020, 01:06:11 PM »

June 18-22, 2020
1,139 registered voters
MoE: 2.9%

Biden 46%
Trump 45%
Someone else 3%
Would not vote 1%
Don't know/no answer 5%
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Buzz
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« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2020, 01:06:32 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: June 24, 2020, 01:07:26 PM »

If TX is within 2 pts, yeah Biden is gonna win OH probably by 3 pts like Obama did in 2012
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #5 on: June 24, 2020, 01:08:09 PM »

Ohio is a swing state, period.

Hillary was a bad fit for OH
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: June 24, 2020, 01:08:40 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: June 24, 2020, 01:09:02 PM »

Tfw the nation breaks away due to trends but Ohio is insistent on going with it.
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Buzz
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« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2020, 01:10:21 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
I’m well aware.  Quinipac has Biden up by 8 over Trump in there last Ohio poll.  For him to now only be down 1 in the current climate leads me to believe he will win the state on 11/3
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #9 on: June 24, 2020, 01:10:24 PM »

The Gold Standard Hath Spoken: Ohio is still a swing state!
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #10 on: June 24, 2020, 01:10:50 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
I’m well aware.  Quinipac has Biden up by 8 over Trump in there last Ohio poll.  For him to now only be down 1 in the current climate leads me to believe he will win the state on 11/3
The last poll was a year ago dude
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DrScholl
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« Reply #11 on: June 24, 2020, 01:11:25 PM »

Doesn't look like Trump is doing too well.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #12 on: June 24, 2020, 01:11:31 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
I’m well aware.  Quinipac has Biden up by 8 over Trump in there last Ohio poll.  For him to now only be down 1 in the current climate leads me to believe he will win the state on 11/3
The last poll was a year ago dude

I believe that Buzz has been possessed by the ghost of SN2903.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: June 24, 2020, 01:11:45 PM »

Just like with TX polls, Rs still believe OH is an R state, its not
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BlueGrassKentuckian
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« Reply #14 on: June 24, 2020, 01:12:09 PM »

Don’t get why so many people in Ohio support confederates. Guess the southern part of the state has similar ancestral makeup to places like W. Virginia and TN. Ohio will be tough: large swaths of small town/rural whites but also larger cities like Cincy, Cleveland and Columbus.
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Buzz
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« Reply #15 on: June 24, 2020, 01:16:46 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
I’m well aware.  Quinipac has Biden up by 8 over Trump in there last Ohio poll.  For him to now only be down 1 in the current climate leads me to believe he will win the state on 11/3
The last poll was a year ago dude
So?  Trump is in a lot more $hit now that he was then anyways.  For him to be polling better now during his “rock bottom” shows that he’s favored here.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #16 on: June 24, 2020, 01:18:42 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
I’m well aware.  Quinipac has Biden up by 8 over Trump in there last Ohio poll.  For him to now only be down 1 in the current climate leads me to believe he will win the state on 11/3
The last poll was a year ago dude
So?  Trump is in a lot more $hit now that he was then anyways.  For him to be polling better now during his “rock bottom” shows that he’s favored here.

How do we know this is it?
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WD
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« Reply #17 on: June 24, 2020, 01:21:14 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
I’m well aware.  Quinipac has Biden up by 8 over Trump in there last Ohio poll.  For him to now only be down 1 in the current climate leads me to believe he will win the state on 11/3
The last poll was a year ago dude
So?  Trump is in a lot more $hit now that he was then anyways.  For him to be polling better now during his “rock bottom” shows that he’s favored here.

How do we know this is it?
We don’t. He's just making it up because he wants it to be true
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: June 24, 2020, 01:24:22 PM »

Mike DeWine has finally seen his approval no.s cross over: he is now more popular among Democrats than Republicans.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #19 on: June 24, 2020, 01:30:24 PM »

Those approval numbers.....jesus. If this is OH, what does PA, WI, and MI look like?
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #20 on: June 24, 2020, 01:30:52 PM »

Shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Ohio will be in the red column on 11/3.  If it’s close though, problems!  

Dems have won OH before in 200i8 and 2012, it's a purple state
I’m well aware.  Quinipac has Biden up by 8 over Trump in there last Ohio poll.  For him to now only be down 1 in the current climate leads me to believe he will win the state on 11/3
The last poll was a year ago dude
So?  Trump is in a lot more $hit now that he was then anyways.  For him to be polling better now during his “rock bottom” shows that he’s favored here.

"My guy is losing by 1 but he's favored because he was losing by more a year ago."  K.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #21 on: June 24, 2020, 01:33:17 PM »

Q-pac also has been a little more bullish on Trump lately... which is showing up in the Independents #s (this was the same case in their national poll) and their 18-34 #s which seem way off.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: June 24, 2020, 01:33:57 PM »

Those approval numbers.....jesus. If this is OH, what does PA, WI, and MI look like?

Wi Marquette poll has Biden ahead by 8, probably too D favored but Biden is winning by at least 4 pts
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BlueGrassKentuckian
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« Reply #23 on: June 24, 2020, 02:21:27 PM »

Those approval numbers.....jesus. If this is OH, what does PA, WI, and MI look like?

Wi Marquette poll has Biden ahead by 8, probably too D favored but Biden is winning by at least 4 pts

Wisconsin poll sample favors Trump compared to 2016 exit poll by around 10 points tho... it under polled urban and suburban demos by almost 10 pts.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #24 on: June 24, 2020, 02:30:39 PM »

Just like with TX polls, Rs still believe OH is an R state, its not
It's not an R State because of Trump. A Generic Republican Candidate without skeletons like Nikki Haley for example would win Ohio by 4-6 Points.

Ohio will lose another Electoral Vote in the 2020 Census bringing their EV for the 2024 Election down to 17. When GWB won in 2000 the State had 21 EV's suggesting that the Population is shrinking.

Ohio is an older and a whiter State, probably the whitest State in the Rustbelt. Based on those Demographics alone Ohio should be a Republican State for years to come. Only Trumps unpopularity and double digit deficit nationally is making this State competitive for 2020.
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