Civiqs; Biden’s favourability rating
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  Civiqs; Biden’s favourability rating
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Author Topic: Civiqs; Biden’s favourability rating  (Read 835 times)
Mr. Third-Wayist
Liam
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« on: June 24, 2020, 11:38:43 AM »

https://civiqs.com/results/favorable_joe_biden?uncertainty=false&annotations=false&zoomIn=false
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Buzz
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« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2020, 11:41:24 AM »

Not great!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2020, 11:42:20 AM »

Civiqs has consistently been the literal worst pollster for Biden's favorability. Morning Consult had it at -2 today, and NYT had it at +10. -14 is an incredible outlier.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2020, 12:00:08 PM »

Civiqs has consistently been the literal worst pollster for Biden's favorability. Morning Consult had it at -2 today, and NYT had it at +10. -14 is an incredible outlier.

Yes, though the weird thing is that their Trump approval and their general election polling is in line with other polls. So not really sure what the deal is.
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Mr. Third-Wayist
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« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2020, 12:06:37 AM »

Civiqs has consistently been the literal worst pollster for Biden's favorability. Morning Consult had it at -2 today, and NYT had it at +10. -14 is an incredible outlier.

Yes, though the weird thing is that their Trump approval and their general election polling is in line with other polls. So not really sure what the deal is.
Maybe they have him confused with Hillary?
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new_patomic
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« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2020, 12:10:41 AM »

Some interesting things looking at it

Biden's approval among Democrats only is still about ~10 points worse than before he started running, though has recovered from his relative lows during the primary.

What I imagine is really driving his poor numbers is that independents went from being neutral towards Biden in 2018, to disliking him by a 60-30 margin today. Which seems like an outlier, both in terms of his pre-running approval and where he should be now.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #6 on: June 25, 2020, 12:10:45 AM »

Forgive me for having a hard time believing Biden is underwater with female college graduates.

Or that he's -30 with independents and -31 with whites.

But perhaps the most laughable result?  46/49 favorable/unfavorable in.... Delaware.

Trash it.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #7 on: June 25, 2020, 02:39:41 AM »

Forgive me for having a hard time believing Biden is underwater with female college graduates.

Or that he's -30 with independents and -31 with whites.

But perhaps the most laughable result?  46/49 favorable/unfavorable in.... Delaware.

Trash it.

I don't usually make blanket statements based off anecdotal evidence and "I feel" sentiments, but I would be willing to bet good money that his unfavorability (because that's a word) isn't nearly that high in Delaware.  There could easily be a majority of people who don't necessarily care about Ol' Joe one way or the other -- after all, it's been almost twelve years since he served the state specifically, but I don't buy a 46/49 split. 
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: June 25, 2020, 03:06:17 AM »

What annoys me most is that Kos treats these numbers like the gospel in order to push his narrative that Biden must pick Warren if he wants young voters/progressives to coalesce around him.
That kind of behavior is frankly not all that different from Republicans ignoring all polls except Rasmussen and McLaughlin.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9 on: June 25, 2020, 05:44:19 AM »

Well the other odd thing is that Civiqs has produced normal results in all of their other polls, generally. And their Trump approval tracker and GCB tracker are both normal.

So I have no idea why this is so off. Though Obama's favorability on their site seems a little low too.
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afleitch
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« Reply #10 on: June 25, 2020, 06:58:52 AM »

Trump was at 65% unfavourable in June 2016, 13 points higher than Biden now. You can win with high unfavourables.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #11 on: June 25, 2020, 11:14:37 AM »

They only have him as 80% favorable among Delaware Democrats.

The Delaware primary is on July 7 and I will eat my hat if he gets below 80%.
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