Data for Progress: Biden+6%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dGGzVgmSaesL4N8JeM07YIfMsT_BJ1yflf-29y_ejcQ/edit

Among 721 registered voters; conducted June 23, 2020, according to 538. Including leaners:

Biden 50%
Trump 44%
Some other candidate 5%

[wbrocks67]

I thought Data for Progress was good?

This has his handling of the Coronavirus at 46/49 which is... nowhere near any other poll since like April.

Am I also supposed to understand that the last iteration of this poll had it at Biden +14, and now it's Biden +6?

[LimoLiberal]

This is down from Biden +14 (54-40) on June 9th

[wbrocks67]

This is down from Biden +14 (54-40) on June 9th

So coupled with Trump's odd bump in handling the virus, I would assume this is an R-leaning sample, which would make Biden +6 not seem so bad

[Buzz]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

[Ferguson97]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

There are exactly zero people who are changing their mind over the NASCAR thing - which is not a hoax by the way.

[Buzz]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

There are exactly zero people who are changing their mind over the NASCAR thing - which is not a hoax by the way.

Your wrong but that’s fine!

[Illini Moderate]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

There are exactly zero people who are changing their mind over the NASCAR thing - which is not a hoax by the way.

Your wrong but that’s fine!

Why don't you elaborate instead of just acting like a child and saying they're wrong. Starting to think this is just SN with another account.

[Buzz]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

There are exactly zero people who are changing their mind over the NASCAR thing - which is not a hoax by the way.

Your wrong but that’s fine!

Why don't you elaborate instead of just acting like a child and saying they're wrong. Starting to think this is just SN with another account.

Lol another person calling me SN.  No.   The Dems are overplaying this and now with the Bubba hoax and the destruction of cities around the country, I am expecting a slight Trump bump.  Simple as that.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

There are exactly zero people who are changing their mind over the NASCAR thing - which is not a hoax by the way.

Your wrong but that’s fine!

Why don't you elaborate instead of just acting like a child and saying they're wrong. Starting to think this is just SN with another account.

Lol another person calling me SN.  No.   The Dems are overplaying this and now with the Bubba hoax and the destruction of cities around the country, I am expecting a slight Trump bump.  Simple as that.

How many people do you think will change their votes from Biden to Trump because the Bubba Wallace incident turned out to be nothing?  Give us a ballpark figure.

[Ferguson97]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

There are exactly zero people who are changing their mind over the NASCAR thing - which is not a hoax by the way.

Your wrong but that’s fine!

Why don't you elaborate instead of just acting like a child and saying they're wrong. Starting to think this is just SN with another account.

Lol another person calling me SN.  No.   The Dems are overplaying this and now with the Bubba hoax and the destruction of cities around the country, I am expecting a slight Trump bump.  Simple as that.

For a "Trump bump" to happen there has to be either an undecided or lean-Biden voter deciding to switch to Trump over that incident specifically. Covid didn't convince then. The Floyd protests didn't But the NASCAR thing did - a blip on the news radar.

This person does not exist.

[OneJ]

Just average out this poll and Siena and you get Biden +10. Happy now?

[Hammy]

I'll point out since nobody else has that, for the most part, the wild variations in Biden's lead comes from the fact that he's hovering between 49-51 in most polls (within the margin of error) while Trump bouncing between 35 and 45 from poll to poll--there's no real sign Biden's support is actually going down in any sense.

[Buzz]

I'll point out since nobody else has that, for the most part, the wild variations in Biden's lead comes from the fact that he's hovering between 49-51 in most polls (within the margin of error) while Trump bouncing between 35 and 45 from poll to poll--there's no real sign Biden's support is actually going down in any sense.

Spot on.  Biden has been around 50 forever now.  Most of the fluctuations have to do with whether Trump supporters are on his side or not at that place in time.  I assume if Biden is going to stay in the 50-51 range than Trump better get his number to atleast 47

[Progressive Pessimist]

Obviously a Trump bump from all the nonsense Democratic mayors/leadership are allowing across the country.  I would expect another slight bump after the NASCAR hoax story.  Dems overplaying their cards again.

You realize that Trump is still losing here, right? A six point win would be enough for Biden to win the electoral college fairly comfortably.