New York 6/23 Primary Results Megathread

[Oryxslayer]

I know it's early, but Suraj Patel is currently ahead of Carolyn Maloney.

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1275626631688790016?s=20

DDHQ has the actual results. Maloney is ahead by the same amount as the last update. apparently the NYT isn't counting the Manhattan part and only the Queens side despite having the numbers previously reported in their system.

[n1240]

I mean if we end the night like this in NY17 then Schleifer probably wins given the demographics of those who voted absentee in Westchester.

The early in-person wasn't too promising for him in Westchester. If the election day vote as a whole ends up similar, it may be a tough hill to climb.

[KaiserDave]

These results are insane glitchy

But I will say Clarke looks likely to win :eye roll:

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

DDHQ calls it for Clarke.

[Suburbia]

The real victories will be stopping IDC members Carlucci and Diaz Sr. That entire caucus needs to be dismantled.

Why because they are moderates? Who represents the moderates today?

[Babeuf]

MMV at 4% in NY-15... how the mighty have fallen. Tbf she's been falling for a while before this.

[Oryxslayer]

I mean if we end the night like this in NY17 then Schleifer probably wins given the demographics of those who voted absentee in Westchester.

The early in-person wasn't too promising for him in Westchester. If the election day vote as a whole ends up similar, it may be a tough hill to climb.

Early In-person =/= Absentee. Early in-person tends to be utilized more by minority groups on average, and absentees are the affluent whites best friend. Everyone should know by now after Georgia that mail ballot voters, even in this age of Corona and extended voting are more affluent, more white, more wealthy, more urban/suburban, and just...more in favor of the mainstream. This is why Georgia republicans are now expanding their early vote, because even though Liberal whites will use the system, AAs are statistically less likely to when compared to other alternatives, which can be then limited.

[Don't blame me I voted for Harris]

These results are insane glitchy

But I will say Clarke looks likely to win :eye roll:

What’s wrong with Clarke? I’m genuinely curious. I know nothing about her.

[Lognog]

The real victories will be stopping IDC members Carlucci and Diaz Sr. That entire caucus needs to be dismantled.

Why because they are moderates? Who represents the moderates today?

Moderate's would not representive of some of the most progressive and liberal districts in the country

[Pyro]

NYS BoE has DSA activist Jabari Brisport leading his opponent for NY 25th Senate District. Totals with (in-person?) 280 of 280 election districts reporting is Brisport with 13,151 (49.87%) to Tremaine Wright with 10,238 (38.82%).

https://twitter.com/JabariBrisport/status/1275626156725846016

Julia Salazar, the incumbent state senator for NY 18th Senate District is on track to win re-election in a landslide. She is also a member of the DSA.

[Lognog]

These results are insane glitchy

But I will say Clarke looks likely to win :eye roll:

What’s wrong with Clarke? I’m genuinely curious. I know nothing about her.

I had the same question and here is the thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=378999.0

[n1240]

I mean if we end the night like this in NY17 then Schleifer probably wins given the demographics of those who voted absentee in Westchester.

The early in-person wasn't too promising for him in Westchester. If the election day vote as a whole ends up similar, it may be a tough hill to climb.

Early In-person =/= Absentee. Early in-person tends to be utilized more by minority groups on average, and absentees are the affluent whites best friend. Everyone should no by now after Georgia that mail ballot voters, even in this age of Corona and extended voting are more affluent, more white, more wealthy, more urban/suburban, and just...more in favor of the mainstream. This is why Georgia republicans are now expanding their early vote, because even though Liberal whites will use the system, AAs are statistically less likely to when compared to other alternatives, which can be then limited.

I know, my point was that if Jones is able to keep expanding on his lead on election day votes (as in, similar to what he achieved in the early in-person vote) in Westchester, it'll make it more difficult for Schleifer to overcome the gap on his expected strength from mail-in absentee votes. Of course upwards of around 70%+ of the vote may be mail-in absentee, but would still wait and see how Westchester finishes tonight.

[Zaybay]

The real victories will be stopping IDC members Carlucci and Diaz Sr. That entire caucus needs to be dismantled.

Why because they are moderates? Who represents the moderates today?

Moderates dont create GOP-aligned caucuses to block their fellow Democrats, nor are they completely out of line with everything the Democrats stand for.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The real victories will be stopping IDC members Carlucci and Diaz Sr. That entire caucus needs to be dismantled.

Why because they are moderates? Who represents the moderates today?

No - there are other moderates who aren't as corrupt (even the standard NY machine politicians like Cuomo aren't half as bad). The IDC took stipends from the Republicans while caucusing with them (having been elected as Democrats) which were normally reserved for Senate chairs. They also entered illegal joint fundraising agreements with NY's Independent Party, and used their influence as part of the Republican caucus to do some very selective pork-barrelling and grift, in addition to blocking reforms which were fairly popular statewide.

[Babeuf]

I mean if we end the night like this in NY17 then Schleifer probably wins given the demographics of those who voted absentee in Westchester.

The early in-person wasn't too promising for him in Westchester. If the election day vote as a whole ends up similar, it may be a tough hill to climb.

Early In-person =/= Absentee. Early in-person tends to be utilized more by minority groups on average, and absentees are the affluent whites best friend. Everyone should no by now after Georgia that mail ballot voters, even in this age of Corona and extended voting are more affluent, more white, more wealthy, more urban/suburban, and just...more in favor of the mainstream. This is why Georgia republicans are now expanding their early vote, because even though Liberal whites will use the system, AAs are statistically less likely to when compared to other alternatives, which can be then limited.

Farkas is higher than Schleifer in Westchester so far, so the absentee vote could help her, splitting the wealthy white vote and allowing Jones to sneak through the middle. Buchwald is also a factor there for those same types of voters.

Basically, I would agree with you if it was 1 vs. 1 but Schleifer has lots of competition in Westchester and isn't even first there among the moderates so far.

[scutosaurus]

This is a dark, dark day for Kosovo. I expect the annexation to begin any minute now.

[Oryxslayer]

NYS BoE has DSA activist Jabari Brisport leading his opponent for NY 25th Senate District. Totals with (in-person?) 280 of 280 election districts reporting is Brisport with 13,151 (49.87%) to Tremaine Wright with 10,238 (38.82%).

https://twitter.com/JabariBrisport/status/1275626156725846016

Julia Salazar, the incumbent state senator for NY 18th Senate District is on track to win re-election in a landslide. She is also a member of the DSA.

This district includes the tip of Long Island and some of the most trendy communities on the east side of  the East River in NYC. I would be more surprised if it didn't have a progressive or DSA legislator.

[We Live in Black and White]

The fact that I have to wait a week to see whether or not anti-vax garbage Carolyn Maloney loses frustrates me to no end.

[pppolitics]

So, I haven't been following the races.

Is Bowman going to be a political lightning rod like Ocasio-Cortez?

[We Live in Black and White]

So, I haven't been following the races.

Is Bowman going to be a political lightning rod like Ocasio-Cortez?

Well, he said in his acceptance speech that he can't wait to, quote, go to Congress and "cause problems". So, yeah, at the least.

[Roll Roons]

So, I haven't been following the races.

Is Bowman going to be a political lightning rod like Ocasio-Cortez?

Well, he said in his acceptance speech that he can't wait to, quote, go to Congress and "cause problems". So, yeah, at the least.

Oh crap. Well, hopefully New York will eventually come to their senses after Trump goes. 

[The Mamdani Virus]

So, I haven't been following the races.

Is Bowman going to be a political lightning rod like Ocasio-Cortez?

Well, he said in his acceptance speech that he can't wait to, quote, go to Congress and "cause problems". So, yeah, at the least.

This is really not what Democrats need, it just creates distracting headlines and causes issues within the party. Anyways, good to see Maloney in trouble, she actually deserves to go down, unlike Engel.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

So, I haven't been following the races.

Is Bowman going to be a political lightning rod like Ocasio-Cortez?

Well, he said in his acceptance speech that he can't wait to, quote, go to Congress and "cause problems". So, yeah, at the least.

Acceptance speech?

[W]

Hawatmeh +4 in my district. 98% in.

Holy $#*&. Even with mail-in I cannot see that changing much. I don't wanna do the lean D -> likely D meme because she's such a wild card who knows but that's gonna make campaigning a lot more... interesting. Funnier? Weirder? Too early to tell. Def more interesting.

[We Live in Black and White]

So, I haven't been following the races.

Is Bowman going to be a political lightning rod like Ocasio-Cortez?

Well, he said in his acceptance speech that he can't wait to, quote, go to Congress and "cause problems". So, yeah, at the least.

Acceptance speech?

Apologies, election night speech. Outlets are just calling it for him.