President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
Posts: 41,392
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« on: June 21, 2020, 08:44:40 PM » |
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No Republican Senator was going to lose in 2014. Gordon Smith was a strong incumbent anyway, he only barely lost in face of a massive tidal wave. Norm Coleman was also decently strong but if he had won in 2008 he should have survived 2014 by a margin of, I guess, low single digits. The real crunch time would be 2020, where they would, like Mark Kirk in 2016, be facing the end of the line.
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