Rate OK-05
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  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Virginiá, KaiserDave)
  Rate OK-05		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ^
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Tossup		  
#6
Tilt D		  
#7
Lean D		  
#8
Likely D		  
#9
Safe D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: Rate OK-05  (Read 536 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 19, 2020, 04:00:49 PM »
« edited: August 15, 2021, 12:39:59 PM by VARep »
?
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For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2020, 04:04:47 PM »
Tilt R. I think some people really underestimate Horn and how much this district might trend D in 2020.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2020, 04:22:51 PM »
Tossup/Lean R. We have seen polls of Oklahoma showing Biden leading in OK-05 and winning Oklahoma County against Trump. Moreover, the Oklahoma City metropolitan area is undoubtedly trending Democratic, and has become much less Republican since the turn of the century. If Biden manages to win OK-05, then I think Kendra Horn will almost certainly win reelection. And if he doesn't, it still appears that he will improve significantly over Hillary Clinton's performance here, and that will give her a boost. However, she is facing a relatively strong Republican opponent in Stephanie Bice, and the district's historical Republican leanings may yet prevail. But I don't think Horn can be completely counted out at this juncture.
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Esteemed Jimmy
Jimmy7812
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2020, 05:06:42 PM »
Tilt R
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The Mamdani Virus
S019
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2020, 05:11:04 PM »
Lean R, Horn and Cunningham are the two likeliest Democratic incumbents to lose, and lose even on a good night for Democrats
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2020, 05:22:26 PM »
Lean R flip.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2020, 05:24:18 PM »
Lean R, in part due to lack of impending support for Kendra Horn. Her district will probably be sliced up in 2022 and she has no (elected) political future in the short term after that, so the party has little incentive to help her instead of helping e.g. Jared Golden.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2020, 05:37:22 PM »
Tilt R. Bice is probably favored right now, but Horn still has a good chance of surviving.
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MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2020, 08:08:46 PM »
Likely R
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xavier110
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2020, 08:56:55 PM »
I think Horn hangs on, tilt D. This is a district that almost best encapsulates the demographics swinging to Dems, so I'd be surprised if Horn loses in a presidential year after eking it out in '18.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2020, 09:17:29 PM »
Tilt R, but no more than that.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #11 on: June 20, 2020, 11:32:46 PM »
Tossup.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #12 on: June 21, 2020, 12:38:01 AM »
The latest poll shows Biden winning Oklahoma's 5th congressional district.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200608_OK.pdf

good news for Kendra Horn
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Senate Minority Leader Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #13 on: June 21, 2020, 01:29:59 AM »
True tossup.
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