Quinnipiac: Biden +8%
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Biden +8%  (Read 2312 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: June 18, 2020, 01:05:34 PM »
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3664 Quinnipiac
Sampling period: June 11-15, 2020
Sample size: 1332 registered voters
MoE: 2.7%

Biden 49%
Trump 41%
Someone else 3%
Would not vote 1%
Don't know/no answer 5%

Q delivers again (Biden only up by 8 ). Good for Trump.
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CivicParticipant
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« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2020, 01:07:47 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 18, 2020, 01:05:34 PM
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3664 Quinnipiac
Sampling period: June 11-15, 2020
Sample size: 1332 registered voters
MoE: 2.7%

Biden 49%
Trump 41%
Someone else 3%
Would not vote 1%
Don't know/no answer 5%

Q delivers again (Biden only up by 8 ). Good for Trump.

I agree. Another lukewarm poll for Biden.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2020, 01:10:17 PM »
Yea this is really really bad for Biden. I guess I have the answer to my post.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2020, 01:11:04 PM »
Any poll with Biden up less than 10 really means Trump has that sh**t on lock
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soundchaser
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« Reply #4 on: June 18, 2020, 01:12:02 PM »
Quote from: Pear Squad on June 18, 2020, 01:07:47 PM
I agree. Another lukewarm poll for Biden.

Up by *8 points* is not lukewarm. (Hopefully you're the only one in this thread not being facetious.)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: June 18, 2020, 01:12:11 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on June 18, 2020, 01:11:04 PM
Any poll with Biden up less than 10 really means Trump has that sh**t on lock

I think it's <15. <10 and we're entering GOP landslide territory.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #6 on: June 18, 2020, 01:12:18 PM »
Oh no, Biden is only leading outside of the margin of error in a high-quality, large sample poll. And he's only at 49% with 10% undecided!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: June 18, 2020, 01:12:40 PM »
Hm - Independents sample seems to lean Republican. Biden's favorability is worse than Trumps among them which seems... off. Biden's is -20 in this one, only -8 last month.

Meanwhile, "Leadership skills" for Biden went from +11 last month to +1 now. "Cares about average americans" went from +31 last month to +20 this month. Major shifts when if anything, Biden has been improving in pretty much everything elsewhere in other polls.
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CivicParticipant
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« Reply #8 on: June 18, 2020, 01:13:32 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 18, 2020, 01:12:40 PM
Hm - Independents sample seems to lean Republican. Biden's favorability is worse than Trumps among them which seems... off. Biden's is -20 in this one, only -8 last month.

Meanwhile, "Leadership skills" for Biden went from +11 last month to +1 now. "Cares about average americans" went from +31 last month to +20 this month. Major shifts when if anything, Biden has been improving in pretty much everything elsewhere in other polls.

Bad news.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: June 18, 2020, 01:14:46 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 18, 2020, 01:12:40 PM
Hm - Independents sample seems to lean Republican. Biden's favorability is worse than Trumps among them which seems... off. Biden's is -20 in this one, only -8 last month.

Meanwhile, "Leadership skills" for Biden went from +11 last month to +1 now. "Cares about average americans" went from +31 last month to +20 this month. Major shifts when if anything, Biden has been improving in pretty much everything elsewhere in other polls.

Quinnipiac tends to jump back and forth a bit. Wouldn't be surprised if Biden actually improved a bit in the next one.
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YE
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« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2020, 01:15:27 PM »
Wasn't the last poll +11%?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: June 18, 2020, 01:16:53 PM »
Independents: Biden +3 (May: Biden +11)
Men: Trump +13 (May: Trump +7)
Women: Biden +26 (May: Biden +28)
18-34: Biden +27 (May: Biden +18)
35-49: Biden +3 (May: Biden +12)
50-64: Trump +2 (May: Biden +8)
65+: Biden +8 (May: Biden +10)
Whites: Trump +8 (May: Trump +4)
Blacks: Biden +73 (May: Biden +78)
Hispanics: Biden +26 (May: Biden +7)

A wonky sample, I'd say.... Independents went hard for Trump this month compared to last, while Men took a substantial shift. 18-34 went hard for Biden, while Biden collapsed in 35-49 and 50-64 compared to last month. 65+ remained about the same. Biden somehow lost support from Blacks since last month (okay) while Hispanics surged for Biden.

Even for Q-pac, the changes are pretty drastic from last month. +8 is still close to the average, but odd that they would have it higher last month when everyone was lower, and lower this month when everyone had it higher.
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n1240
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« Reply #12 on: June 18, 2020, 01:18:14 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 18, 2020, 01:12:40 PM
Hm - Independents sample seems to lean Republican. Biden's favorability is worse than Trumps among them which seems... off. Biden's is -20 in this one, only -8 last month.

Meanwhile, "Leadership skills" for Biden went from +11 last month to +1 now. "Cares about average americans" went from +31 last month to +20 this month. Major shifts when if anything, Biden has been improving in pretty much everything elsewhere in other polls.

Looks like Quinnipiac found the independents who actually heard about the new jobs report and Biden's "You ain't black" comment.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #13 on: June 18, 2020, 01:21:21 PM »
Biden in FREEFALL as 9-10 point lead DROPS to 8-9 point lead.
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Holmes
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« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2020, 01:22:05 PM »
Remember that Biden needs to win the PV by 23 points for even a shot at getting a majority of electoral votes.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #15 on: June 18, 2020, 01:23:23 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on June 18, 2020, 01:18:14 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 18, 2020, 01:12:40 PM
Hm - Independents sample seems to lean Republican. Biden's favorability is worse than Trumps among them which seems... off. Biden's is -20 in this one, only -8 last month.

Meanwhile, "Leadership skills" for Biden went from +11 last month to +1 now. "Cares about average americans" went from +31 last month to +20 this month. Major shifts when if anything, Biden has been improving in pretty much everything elsewhere in other polls.

Looks like Quinnipiac found the independents who actually heard about the new jobs report and Biden's "You ain't black" comment.

Smiley
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Buzz
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« Reply #16 on: June 18, 2020, 01:25:05 PM »
Expected.  Fine for a June Poll
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #17 on: June 18, 2020, 01:31:10 PM »
Looks about right. By the way, I would advise against trying to compare QPac polls month to month. They tend to have wonky swings that don't match what other polls are showing.
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Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy
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« Reply #18 on: June 18, 2020, 01:33:15 PM »
Within a reasonable range of expectations. Throw it in the average.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: June 18, 2020, 02:18:48 PM »
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The '90s' Last Champion
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« Reply #20 on: June 18, 2020, 02:19:49 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 18, 2020, 02:18:48 PM


Biden is doing better with every demographic except AA, so this means his lead probably widens when he consolidates AA support.
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CivicParticipant
Spark498
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« Reply #21 on: June 18, 2020, 02:22:15 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 18, 2020, 02:18:48 PM


Biden is doing atrocious compared to Clinton with black voters.
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Buzz
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« Reply #22 on: June 18, 2020, 02:25:29 PM »
Quote from: Speaker of the Lincoln Council S019 on June 18, 2020, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 18, 2020, 02:18:48 PM


Biden is doing better with every demographic except AA, so this means his lead probably widens when he consolidates AA support.
or it means this poll is **** which it is
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: June 18, 2020, 02:25:45 PM »
Good news for Ds prospects in TX, since McConnell is safe Ds should spend money on TX and SC
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #24 on: June 18, 2020, 02:26:26 PM »
Quote from: Pear Squad on June 18, 2020, 02:22:15 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 18, 2020, 02:18:48 PM


Biden is doing atrocious compared to Clinton with black voters.
Beware the Crosstabs
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