KY - Civiqs/Data for Progress: Trump +20%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/6/ky/Civiqs_DataforProgress_KY_banner_book_2020_06.pdf
June 13-15, 2020
898 registered voters
MoE: 3.8%

Trump 57%
Biden 37%
Someone else 5%
Undecided 1%

[Sir Mohamed]

About right. Trump will probably do slightly worse than in 2016, but still better than McConnell. Safe R.

[BobbieMac]

Trump won this 63-33 in 2016, so this swing against him is consistent with current national polling.

[BlueGrassKentuckian]

Was +30 in 2016 for Hillary.

[EastOfEden]

Trump won this 63-33 in 2016, so this swing against him is consistent with current national polling.

Was hoping that Beshear's popularity could create a disproportionate swing, but I guess not. Oh well.

[Alben Barkley]

Trump won this 63-33 in 2016, so this swing against him is consistent with current national polling.

Was hoping that Beshear's popularity could create a disproportionate swing, but I guess not. Oh well.

Beshear’s dad was governor in 2012, and pretty popular too. Didn’t stop Romney from easily winning the state. Kentuckians just view these things as entirely separate.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

The teachers union didnt like Bevin, he was too much of a status quo R, but Beshear should consider the Senate if Rand Paul runs for Prez in 2024

[CookieDamage]

Trump won this 63-33 in 2016, so this swing against him is consistent with current national polling.

Was hoping that Beshear's popularity could create a disproportionate swing, but I guess not. Oh well.

Beshear’s dad was governor in 2012, and pretty popular too. Didn’t stop Romney from easily winning the state. Kentuckians just view these things as entirely separate.

Most state voters view state- and federal-level elections as different. Christie's popularity in 2012 didn't swing the state towards Romney.

[Annatar]

This poll is very similar to the last polls that came out from KY before the 2016 election,a Western Kentucky University poll done Oct 25-30 found Trump leading 54-37, similar to this polls 57-37, a SurveyMonkey poll done in the week leading up to the election found Trump up 54-35.