Describe a...
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 17, 2020, 09:43:49 PM »

Trump-Jones voter
Trump-Kelly voter
Biden-Gardner voter
Biden-Ernst voter
Trump-Greenfield voter
Trump-McGrath voter
Biden-Tillis voter
Trump-Cunningham voter
Trump-Bollier voter
Trump-Harrison voter
Biden-Perdue voter
Trump-Bullock voter
Biden-Daines voter

The ones hardest for me to imagine are Biden-Gardner, Trump-McGrath, and Trump-Cunningham voters. Trump-Bollier is weird too.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2020, 10:55:08 PM »

Biden-Gardner: Moderate R who will hold their nose and vote for Biden
Trump-McGrath: Populism? Hatred of McConnel?
Trump-Cunningham: Crazy
Trump-Bollier: Maybe a few only if Kobach is the nominee, but not many.
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Heir of Camelot
heirofCamelot
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« Reply #2 on: June 17, 2020, 11:36:12 PM »
« Edited: June 18, 2020, 12:20:04 PM by Heir of Camelot »

Trump-Bullock voters: Live in Great Falls or Billings or Helena or Hamilton or even Kalispell. Moderate R. Couldn't stand Hillary and thought Gianforte was/is a carpetbagger.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2020, 11:54:32 PM »

Does Cunningham have an accent? In that case, a Trump-Cunningham voter could be an ancestral Democrat, most likely in WNC, who's swayed by his "folksiness". Not too dissimilar from a Trump-Cooper voter, although there will be way more of the latter. It sounds superficial but I feel like a lot of people do actually vote based on things like that.

Trump-McGrath voters will also mostly be ancestral Dems in Coal Country. Floyd, Rowan, Wolfe and especially Elliott will have the most.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: June 18, 2020, 12:00:51 AM »

Trump-Bullock voter: Live in Great Falls or Billings or Helena or Hamilton or even Kalispell. Moderate R. Couldn't stand Hillary and thought Gianforte was/is a carpetbagger.

That’s a good description. What would Daines need to do to get his/her vote? Are there issues he/she cares a lot about?
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Raccoon
jamespol
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: June 18, 2020, 12:05:38 AM »

Trump-Bullock voter: Live in Great Falls or Billings or Helena or Hamilton or even Kalispell. Moderate R. Couldn't stand Hillary and thought Gianforte was/is a carpetbagger.

That’s a good description. What would Daines need to do to get his/her vote? Are there issues he/she cares a lot about?

No, Trump will not win Virginia lol.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #6 on: June 18, 2020, 06:36:24 AM »

Does Cunningham have an accent? In that case, a Trump-Cunningham voter could be an ancestral Democrat, most likely in WNC, who's swayed by his "folksiness". Not too dissimilar from a Trump-Cooper voter, although there will be way more of the latter. It sounds superficial but I feel like a lot of people do actually vote based on things like that.

Trump-McGrath voters will also mostly be ancestral Dems in Coal Country. Floyd, Rowan, Wolfe and especially Elliott will have the most.

Lol no he doesn't have an accent as far as I can tell. He seems to have been pretty absent from the campaig trail recently which kind of concerns me. I think the senate race and presidential race won't deviate more than 2 points apart.
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Heir of Camelot
heirofCamelot
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« Reply #7 on: June 18, 2020, 11:14:19 AM »

Trump-Bullock voter: Live in Great Falls or Billings or Helena or Hamilton or even Kalispell. Moderate R. Couldn't stand Hillary and thought Gianforte was/is a carpetbagger.

That’s a good description. What would Daines need to do to get his/her vote? Are there issues he/she cares a lot about?

Not sure if Daines is up to the job. He'd have to actually show up in Montana and campaign which he absolutely refuses to do. He won last time by default because he ran against Amanda Curtis after Walsh dropped out at the 11th hour due to scandal. AC would have trouble winning any statewide office in any year which is why she has settled into being the President of MFPE. The difference between Curtis and Bullock as an opponent is like the difference between Hillary and Bill as candidates. It's vast.

I think Trump's support will also be down here a lot compared to 4 years ago unless he miraculously turns it around. The Trump cultists would still die for him but the Moderate R's I know have totally jumped off the bandwagon to the point that one of my buddies in this category actively trolls him on twitter now.

My prediction is Trump wins the state by 9 and Bullock wins by 3-4.
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Annihilation
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« Reply #8 on: June 18, 2020, 11:36:29 AM »

I could see a lot of Trump-Jones voters if Sessions is the nominee.
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charlie6497
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2020, 08:21:40 AM »

How about Biden-McConnell?
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2020, 08:28:18 AM »

Biden-Perdue is the easiest: one of the many Whole Foods wine moms in Gwinnett, Cobb, or Henry Counties that doesn’t like any of what Trump is doing at all, but is a fan of Perdue’s game, clean-cut suburban demeanor
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2020, 08:31:12 AM »

Trump-Harrison voter: homophobic or anti-prostitution Republican
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2020, 10:27:37 AM »

Biden-Daines: My ideology-driven aunt from Yellowstone County whose thoughts on Steve Bullock can aptly be summarized by her GovernMeSteve bumper sticker became a Daines Democrat when we discussed the ramifications of Daines' bipartisan Great American Outdoors Act which was approved by the Senate this week in an overwhelming 73-25 vote
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