538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)
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  538 model & poll tracker thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 model & poll tracker thread  (Read 57619 times)
bilaps
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Posts: 1,789
« on: August 31, 2020, 02:52:19 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 31, 2020, 01:19:52 PM
So the HarrisX +9 Biden poll didn't move the average (despite it being above the +8.0 average), yet the RMG Biden +4 poll dropped it 0.3.

Again, the model and the averages seem to significantly overweight bad polls versus good polls. You'll get a slew of good Biden polls - it barely moves an inch. You get 1 or 2 meh polls, then the average starts sliding.

It's the right wing conspiracy.
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bilaps
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Posts: 1,789
« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2020, 08:25:43 AM »
Yeah, NYT is openly for Trump to win.

Some people here....
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bilaps
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Posts: 1,789
« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2020, 06:56:47 AM »
Well, while he continues to get terrible state polls, Trump is now down 6,7% in 538 national polling average which is the smallest different since I think June 5th.
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