Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-states-of-play-battleground-wave-7

Change Research/CNBC
June 12-14, 2020
1250 likely voters in the national sample
MoE for the national sample: 2.77%

Biden 51%
Trump 41%
Libertarian 3%
Green 2%
Would not vote 0%
Undecided 3%

2408 likely voters in the battleground state sample
MoE for the full battleground sample: 2%
MoE not given for individual states

AZ: 8% of the sample, ~193 voters
Biden 45%
Trump 44%
Libertarian/Green 5%

FL: 30% of the sample, ~722 voters
Biden 50%
Trump 43%
Libertarian/Green 3%

MI: 15% of the sample, ~361 voters
Biden 47%
Trump 45%
Libertarian/Green 3%

NC: 16% of the sample, ~385 voters
Biden 47%
Trump 45%
Libertarian/Green 1%

PA: 21% of the sample, ~501 voters
Biden 49%
Trump 46%
Libertarian/Green 3%

WI: 10% of the sample, ~241 voters
Biden 48%
Trump 44%
Libertarian/Green 5%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Sample sizes have been retrieved by 538:

AZ: 201
FL: 713
MI: 353
NC: 378
PA: 491
WI: 231