Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI

[wbrocks67]

Well, on first thought - if Change, which has been historically bullish on Trump, is now saying Biden +10 nationally, then you know that's huge.

State polls are still weird, but they've shifted towards Biden (glad they seemed to get their PA sample at least somewhat right I guess)

But Biden +7 in FL while only +3 in PA and +2 in MI (and +2 in NC) still doesn't jive.

[wbrocks67]

Nice to see polling from several key states.  State polls closer than I expected considering what’s all happening ATM.  Not terrible, but definitely not good either   

The sample sizes for FL and PA are really the only meaningful ones here. Everything else is too small - and tbh, even FL and PA seem like they should be switched at the very least.

[wbrocks67]

Nice to see polling from several key states.  State polls closer than I expected considering what’s all happening ATM.  Not terrible, but definitely not good either   

The sample sizes for FL and PA are really the only meaningful ones here. Everything else is too small - and tbh, even FL and PA seem like they should be switched at the very least.

Agreed.  Also this is a C- pollster according so 538 with a 1.1+ D bias.  All these results should obviously be taken with a large grain of salt

Really the only thing I take from the Change polls in general is the trendline, and this poll had Biden +3 overall not that long ago. So it just confirms what we're seeing elsewhere