Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 02:36:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI  (Read 3149 times)
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


« on: June 17, 2020, 07:48:49 AM »

Nice to see polling from several key states.  State polls closer than I expected considering what’s all happening ATM.  Not terrible, but definitely not good either   
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2020, 08:02:56 AM »

Nice to see polling from several key states.  State polls closer than I expected considering what’s all happening ATM.  Not terrible, but definitely not good either  

If Trump loses WI or PA he is finished, never mind AZ, NC and FL. Trump is done
Yep, your right.  He might as well go ahead and concede now.  Down 2-3 points in several battlegrounds is just too much to make up in 4+ months.
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


« Reply #2 on: June 17, 2020, 08:14:03 AM »

Nice to see polling from several key states.  State polls closer than I expected considering what’s all happening ATM.  Not terrible, but definitely not good either   

The sample sizes for FL and PA are really the only meaningful ones here. Everything else is too small - and tbh, even FL and PA seem like they should be switched at the very least.
Agreed.  Also this is a C- pollster according so 538 with a 1.1+ D bias.  All these results should obviously be taken with a large grain of salt
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2020, 03:05:39 PM »

Change had a D bias per 538
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 13 queries.