Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI
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  Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI  (Read 3155 times)
Buzz
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« Reply #25 on: June 17, 2020, 03:05:39 PM »
Change had a D bias per 538
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President Johnson
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« Reply #26 on: June 17, 2020, 03:09:20 PM »
These state breakdowns don't make a whole lot of sense if Joe Biden is up by ten points nationally. Otherwise, he'd be winning three quarters of the vote in California and two thirds in New York and Illinois. I wouldn't put much stock into the state breakdowns anyway, since most samples are too small to be meaningful.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #27 on: June 17, 2020, 03:22:12 PM »
>sample size: 193

Ayy lmao
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #28 on: June 17, 2020, 03:57:58 PM »


Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 17, 2020, 06:27:04 AM
1250 likely voters in the national sample

Just an FYI, according to the OP (above).
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #29 on: June 17, 2020, 06:43:03 PM »
By Change Research standards these numbers don't look that unreasonable. But that's graded on a huge curve.
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Strong Candidate
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« Reply #30 on: June 17, 2020, 08:45:35 PM »
Change Research is just never going away, and I'm slowly getting resigned to that fact.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #31 on: June 18, 2020, 12:56:59 AM »
New Poll: Arizona President by  Change Research on 2020-06-14

Summary: D: 45%, R: 44%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #32 on: June 18, 2020, 12:57:05 AM »
New Poll: Florida President by  Change Research on 2020-06-14

Summary: D: 50%, R: 43%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #33 on: June 18, 2020, 12:57:13 AM »
New Poll: Michigan President by  Change Research on 2020-06-14

Summary: D: 47%, R: 45%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #34 on: June 18, 2020, 12:57:18 AM »
New Poll: North Carolina President by  Change Research on 2020-06-14

Summary: D: 47%, R: 45%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #35 on: June 18, 2020, 12:57:29 AM »
New Poll: Pennsylvania President by  Change Research on 2020-06-14

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #36 on: June 18, 2020, 12:57:38 AM »
New Poll: Wisconsin President by  Change Research on 2020-06-14

Summary: D: 48%, R: 44%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #37 on: June 23, 2020, 03:33:46 AM »
Sample sizes have been retrieved by 538:

AZ: 201
FL: 713
MI: 353
NC: 378
PA: 491
WI: 231
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #38 on: June 23, 2020, 05:01:37 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 23, 2020, 03:33:46 AM
Sample sizes have been retrieved by 538:

AZ: 201
FL: 713
MI: 353
NC: 378
PA: 491
WI: 231

Complete garbage
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emailking
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« Reply #39 on: June 23, 2020, 08:16:04 PM »
Nice, looks like Biden could win all of the swing states.
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emailking
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« Reply #40 on: June 23, 2020, 08:16:32 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on June 23, 2020, 05:01:37 PM
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 23, 2020, 03:33:46 AM
Sample sizes have been retrieved by 538:

AZ: 201
FL: 713
MI: 353
NC: 378
PA: 491
WI: 231

Complete garbage

It's not garbage. Just calculate the MOEs and attach then.
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