NM-PPP: Biden +14
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Author Topic: NM-PPP: Biden +14  (Read 1674 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: June 16, 2020, 01:52:41 AM »
https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2020/06/16/poll-biden-lujan-lead-in-new-mexico-after-primaries/

Biden - 53
Trump - 39

Trump JA is 37-55

There are Senate #s that I can't post.
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BobbieMac
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« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2020, 04:14:21 AM »
« Edited: June 16, 2020, 05:08:27 AM by BobbieMac »
6 point swing to Biden on UNS, so not that far out on the national polls
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2 on: June 16, 2020, 04:44:08 AM »
2016 numbers for reference:

Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY) -  48.26% (+8.22%) - 385,234 (+65,657)
Donald J. Trump (R-NY) - 40.04% - 319,667
Gary E. Johnson (L-NM*) - 9.34% - 74,541
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: June 16, 2020, 05:05:50 AM »
No surprise here. I've said this before, but I expect Biden to win with a similar margin to Obama's in '08.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #4 on: June 16, 2020, 07:50:47 AM »
I want trump to pour money and time here, please.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: June 16, 2020, 09:09:39 AM »
Sampling period: June 12-13, 2020
Sample size: 740 voters
MoE 3.6%

Undecided 8%
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: June 16, 2020, 10:37:11 AM »
Yet we’ll continue to hear arguments that NM is somehow still a swing state...
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TDAS04
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« Reply #7 on: June 16, 2020, 11:48:45 AM »
That's about by how much I expect Biden to win NM in the end.
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redjohn
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« Reply #8 on: June 16, 2020, 03:18:43 PM »
I think 53% is Biden's floor in NM. He'll easily do better than that in my opinion...With the level of Johnson voters last time who will back Biden, surges in turnout, how would he not?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: June 16, 2020, 05:52:35 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on June 16, 2020, 07:50:47 AM
I want trump to pour money and time here, please.

Quote from: Xing on June 16, 2020, 10:37:11 AM
Yet we’ll continue to hear arguments that NM is somehow still a swing state...

But it is! PPP has democratic bias! Trump overperforms polls! Inevitable tightening! Jobs bump!
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Hammy
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« Reply #10 on: June 16, 2020, 06:15:31 PM »
Was New Mexico supposed to be in play? Because it certainly doesn't look remotely close to being so.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11 on: June 16, 2020, 06:39:48 PM »
Quote from: Hammy on June 16, 2020, 06:15:31 PM
Was New Mexico supposed to be in play? Because it certainly doesn't look remotely close to being so.

Winning New Mexico and Oregon are the delusional goals of Brad Pascale.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2020, 06:52:35 PM »
New Poll: New Mexico President by Public Policy Polling on 2020-06-13

Summary: D: 53%, R: 39%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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