S019
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Posts: 18,315
Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39
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« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2020, 01:05:36 PM » |
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Maybe, but Clinton also probably handles the coronavirus very well and as a result gets a large approval bump. Which leads me to think, Gardner would stay in his Senate seat, which without Trump he has a semi-decent chance of keeping. Clinton is probably headed for slightly better than a Obama 2012-type victory in this scenario (around a 4-5 point PV win), but without having to take the polarizing votes on the AHCA, Kavanaugh, etc., Gardner would probably be fine.
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