AR-Hendrix: Trump +2

[Suburbia]

If AR, MO is in play, then KY is in play as well

[Buzz]

Polls in 2016 were showing Trump barely winning SC.  There all junk and if you believe the result will be anything like this in 11/3 your a moron.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

If AR, MO is in play, then KY is in play as well

Neither AR nor KY could be in play at the presidential level. MO at least has a Democratic coalition that could breach the Republican floor one last time (though it's still safe R right now), but in KY that could only happen for McConnell.

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1272180617116090368

[Tender Branson]

If AR, MO is in play, then KY is in play as well

I wouldn't say "they are in play", but there could be massive swings back to Biden - mostly because Hilldog was such a scarecrow to White men down there (and also women).

I could see these states within 10% (or slightly over) in a Biden+8 win nationally.

[Rural Radical2]

Biden wont win Arkansas, however he coukld get within 10-15 points of Trump.

[Tender Branson]

Polls in 2016 were showing Trump barely winning SC.  There all junk and if you believe the result will be anything like this in 11/3 your a moron.

Polls in 2020 have absolutely nothing to do with 2016.

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1272187642864635904

[Left Wing]

B grade pollster with a D+1.5 swing. If it was anywhere near this close, I think French Hill easily loses reelection.

[Buzz]

Polls in 2016 were showing Trump barely winning SC.  There all junk and if you believe the result will be anything like this in 11/3 your a moron.

Polls in 2020 have absolutely nothing to do with 2016.

I didn’t stutter

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Vaguely reminds me of that poll that had McCain up by only three in Louisiana immediately before the 2008 election.

This poll is, unquestionably, an insane outlier. But an insane outlier a month ago probably would have had Trump up 10. There's meaning here, even if it's wildly exaggerated.

[Brittain33]

My brain can’t handle this poll being remotely accurate. It’s not consistent with anything else we can surmise. I hate to say this, but:

Junk poll. Throw it in the trash.

[DaWN]

[Bidenworth2020]

Holy sh**t. For reference, this same pollster never gave trump less than a 20 point lead in 2016, and overestimated Hutchinson in 2018.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Regardless of the weightings, it’s pretty stunning that you can find a sample in Arkansas where Trump is -4 in job approval while the Republican Governor is +43.

BTW, is there actual evidence that education level of the sample is not representative?

[super6646]

I thought this was Arizona at first lol.

Doubt it. Like trump is probably pacing for about 50 electoral votes if this poll is true.

[😥]

I doubt this poll is good, but I'm very disappointed that Democrats haven't candidate for Senate here

[One Term Floridian]

What is up with all the trash polling out lately lmao

[Brittain33]

Regardless of the weightings, it’s pretty stunning that you can find a sample in Arkansas where Trump is -4 in job approval while the Republican Governor is +43.

I don't know if that's so surprising because all governors except for Kemp and DeSantis have approvals in the stratosphere because of COVID. It's possible it's started to decline over time.

[Hope For A New Era]

lol, what?

I mean, I would love it if it were true, but that's ridiculous.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Arkansas President by Hendrix College/Talk Business on 2020-06-10

Summary: D: 45%, R: 47%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Orser67]

Regardless of the weightings, it’s pretty stunning that you can find a sample in Arkansas where Trump is -4 in job approval while the Republican Governor is +43.

Yeah, that was my thought too. I don't think AR is actually in play, but this poll and recent polls in MO and TN are data points that there may be some pretty serious dissatisfaction with Trump even in some red states.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AR trending D would be a pretty damning indictment of HRC's candidacy.

Trump ran on tax cuts like Bush W did on a boom economy.  Just like in 2008, 2020 is another Recession and voters are dependent on entitlements not tax cuts for rich

[We Live in Black and White]

What the s**t is this poll.

[Roronoa D. Law]

It would make more sense if it was a poll of AR-02.