What does VA-05 look like now?

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Safe R -> Likely R.

Riggleman wasn't exactly the best candidate anyway, Good is no more conservative than someone like Mark Meadows or Jim Jordan, and this is a very Republican district.

Yes, we're seeing some very bad Atlas takes about this race. If Cory Stewart wasn't beyond the pale for this district, why on earth would Random No-Name Conservative Nutjob be? Even Likely R is astoundingly generous if you ask me.

"Confederate flag waving is okay with us, but opposing gay marriage? LET THE RURAL SOUTH STAND TRUE FOR THE RIGHTS OF LGBTQ+ AMERICANS EVERYWHERE!"

[Flyersfan232]

Lean R.

But a Democrat will win this seat in 2022

I think it just depends on how they draw the districts in 2022. The whole VA map will be completely changed like PA in 2018

gerrymander*

[Lognog]

Lean R.

But a Democrat will win this seat in 2022

I think it just depends on how they draw the districts in 2022. The whole VA map will be completely changed like PA in 2018

gerrymander*

very true

[Lognog]

https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/6/19/1954214/-Morning-Digest-After-losing-GOP-nomination-Virginia-congressman-doesn-t-rule-out-third-party-bid

I don’t think Riggleman is going down without a fight

[Annihilation]

People are forgetting it was close in 2018, even with Riggleman. With a much more conservative candidate and a possible third-party bid, I think democrats have a good shot here.

[Calthrina950]

People are forgetting it was close in 2018, even with Riggleman. With a much more conservative candidate and a possible third-party bid, I think democrats have a good shot here.

Democrats could flip this seat, but I don't think it's particularly likely. Even Cory Stewart, of all people, won this district against Tim Kaine in 2018-and Kaine won by the widest margin that any Democrat has won in Virginia since Mark Warner's landslide back in 2008. And Riggleman won by six points against Leslie Cockburn in a Democratic wave year-a relatively comfortable margin, given the circumstances. The Democrats do have a chance, thanks to their base in Charlottesville and Albermarle County, but they would be well-advised to invest their resources to retain hold of VA-02 and VA-07 instead.

[Abolish ICE]

People are forgetting it was close in 2018, even with Riggleman. With a much more conservative candidate and a possible third-party bid, I think democrats have a good shot here.

Democrats could flip this seat, but I don't think it's particularly likely. Even Cory Stewart, of all people, won this district against Tim Kaine in 2018-and Kaine won by the widest margin that any Democrat has won in Virginia since Mark Warner's landslide back in 2008. And Riggleman won by six points against Leslie Cockburn in a Democratic wave year-a relatively comfortable margin, given the circumstances. The Democrats do have a chance, thanks to their base in Charlottesville and Albermarle County, but they would be well-advised to invest their resources to retain hold of VA-02 and VA-07 instead.

Tbf, Cockburn was a horrible candidate.

[Calthrina950]

People are forgetting it was close in 2018, even with Riggleman. With a much more conservative candidate and a possible third-party bid, I think democrats have a good shot here.

Democrats could flip this seat, but I don't think it's particularly likely. Even Cory Stewart, of all people, won this district against Tim Kaine in 2018-and Kaine won by the widest margin that any Democrat has won in Virginia since Mark Warner's landslide back in 2008. And Riggleman won by six points against Leslie Cockburn in a Democratic wave year-a relatively comfortable margin, given the circumstances. The Democrats do have a chance, thanks to their base in Charlottesville and Albermarle County, but they would be well-advised to invest their resources to retain hold of VA-02 and VA-07 instead.

Tbf, Cockburn was a horrible candidate.

True. Wasn't she accused of anti-Semitism? But this district still represents a challenge for Democrats, given Stewart's victory here, and given that Trump is almost certain to carry it against Biden, who will not win Virginia by as much as Kaine did.

[walleye26]

https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/6/19/1954214/-Morning-Digest-After-losing-GOP-nomination-Virginia-congressman-doesn-t-rule-out-third-party-bid

I don’t think Riggleman is going down without a fight

I think VA has a “sore loser” law that would prevent this.

[We Live in Black and White]

https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/6/19/1954214/-Morning-Digest-After-losing-GOP-nomination-Virginia-congressman-doesn-t-rule-out-third-party-bid

I don’t think Riggleman is going down without a fight

I think VA has a “sore loser” law that would prevent this.

Could he run write-in?

[Lognog]

https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/6/19/1954214/-Morning-Digest-After-losing-GOP-nomination-Virginia-congressman-doesn-t-rule-out-third-party-bid

I don’t think Riggleman is going down without a fight

I think VA has a “sore loser” law that would prevent this.

Could he run write-in?

He certainly can do a write-in campaign, but more interestingly it seems more unclear that a sore loser law applies when someone loses nomination due to a convention