Post your early MT-GOV prediction

[MT Treasurer]

I’ll say Gianforte by about the same margin as Steve Bullock in 2012 (+1.6%), but it’s going to be really close.

[Orwell]

The Cooney has Cooties

[Xing]

Populist folk hero Cooney will obviously trounce New Jersey Greg by double digits. If Republicans had only nominated a reasonable electable bipartisan like Fox, then we’d have a real race on our hands.

In all seriousness, Gianforte 50-47 would be my guess.

[We Live in Black and White]

This feels a lot like MT-GOV 2012 to me. It's going to be absurdly close in the end, but Cooney just squeaks one.

[YE]

Given Giantforte seems a weaker than average candidate for the state, I think Cooney narrowly pulls it out.

[Panda Express]

Gianforte will be narrowly behind in the polls until he piledrives a reporter one week before he elelction giving him a small boost among the rurals, allowing him to squeak out a victory.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We havent gotten any recent polls. But, Cooney can defeat Rs

[KaiserDave]

This feels a lot like MT-GOV 2012 to me. It's going to be absurdly close in the end, but Cooney just squeaks one.

This

Coney wins by less than 1%

[S019]

Cooney+0.3

[SnowLabrador]

Gianforte by 1-2 points.

[Hope For A New Era]

Either one by less than one point.

Wouldn’t it be something if a state that voted for Trump twice ends up with a Democratic governor and two Democratic senators, though?

[Horsemask]

Gianforte by exactly 1 point.

[Astatine]

Head says Gianforte, guts say Cooney, I'll go with Gianforte by 1.4 %.

[It's not just that you are a crook senator]

The vote difference between democratic and republican primaries for governor race was very sharp, the difference for senate race is actually at an acceptable number for steve bullock to overcome when compared to previous primary results. Does primary vote numbers indicate a lot of things? Probably not a lot of times. But sometimes it somehow indicates how the race is going to go. Of course dems are going to be trailing republicans in Montana in primaries but the amount of difference I believe tells a story.

Prediction as of now: MT GOV - R by 2 MT - SEN - D by 3

[Mr. Smith]

Cooney by 1.6, Daines by 3, Rosendale by 5

The whole state vs federal thing combined with Gianforte being a bit divisive compared to Maryland Matt.

[NewYorkExpress]

Greg Gianforte (R) 45.94%
Mike Cooney (D) 45.79%
Lyman Bishop (L) 8.27%

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Cooney 48
Gianforte 47.5

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cooney wins by 2

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Gianforte has led consistently in every released since March..

Likely R.. 53%-45%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gianforte has led consistently in every released since March..

Likely R.. 53%-45%.

Dont you realize it's still August,  not October,  plenty of time for MT to go D

[Sir Mohamed]

I think Greg "Bodyslammer" Gianforte will win 51-46%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Greg "Bodyslammer" Gianforte will win 51-46%.

Bullock is on the ballot in MT, its not gonna get easier for the Rs in MT

[PAK Man]

My gut tells me it's going to be Gianforte, but I also think it's going to be a lot closer than people are saying. Keep in mind it's been 20 years since Montana elected a Republican governor.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's why MO and MT are considered upsets if Ds hold them, but since Bullock is on the ballot, its not really an upset

Dems are targeting MO and MT and NC, due to fact Sununu and Scott are unbeatable

[TrumpBritt24]

This feels a lot like MT-GOV 2012 to me. It's going to be absurdly close in the end, but Cooney just squeaks one.