FL (Cygnal) -Biden +3
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  FL (Cygnal) -Biden +3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: FL (Cygnal) -Biden +3  (Read 2243 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: June 11, 2020, 12:51:35 PM »
Biden 47, Trump 44

https://www.cygn.al/florida-voters-overwhelmingly-blame-china-for-the-spread-of-covid-19/
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n1240
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2020, 12:54:26 PM »
Survey period May 18 - May 30
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Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2020, 12:57:00 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2020, 02:45:36 PM by darthpi »
Given that this is a pretty obviously partisan poll with questions like "Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s hard-line stance against the Chinese government?" in spite of, you know, that not being an accurate description of Trump's policies, these are awful election numbers for Trump.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2020, 12:59:00 PM »
Good for Uncle Joe, but not great since he's under 50%. You could argue it's worse for Trump, and this is true, but Florida will be a pure tossup to the end. If the election was held next Tuesday, I'd say Biden wins by one point.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2020, 01:03:59 PM »
At this point in 2016, Clinton lead by 1.2. Biden leads by nearly three times that at 3.4.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2020, 01:04:46 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on June 11, 2020, 12:59:00 PM
Good for Uncle Joe, but not great since he's under 50%. You could argue it's worse for Trump, and this is true, but Florida will be a pure tossup to the end. If the election was held next Tuesday, I'd say Biden wins by one point.

its a Republican poll too - keep that in mind
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: June 11, 2020, 01:13:23 PM »
New Poll: Florida President by Cygnal on 2020-05-30

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Buzz
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« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2020, 01:54:08 PM »
Lean R
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YE
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« Reply #8 on: June 11, 2020, 01:58:37 PM »
Honestly my expectations are so low for this state that any polling lead is good for Dems.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #9 on: June 11, 2020, 02:04:18 PM »
/S
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หมูเด้ง
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #10 on: June 11, 2020, 02:05:25 PM »
Like I said, there is going to have to be a historical gap in the quality of the campaigns to throw this race back into contention.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #11 on: June 11, 2020, 02:21:27 PM »
Beautiful.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #12 on: June 11, 2020, 03:37:44 PM »
Push poll. Junk.
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politics_king
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« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2020, 03:49:50 PM »
I always tell people, go to ElectionBettingOdds.com They're pretty good at this stuff, and it fluctuates with the news cycle. Like once Hillary had her bad week before the election, it swung heavily to Trump on betting.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: June 11, 2020, 06:27:21 PM »
I don't know if I buy it as accurate, but Trump losing a push poll meant for his benefit is truly glorious.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #15 on: June 12, 2020, 09:30:56 AM »
Is this a GOP pollster? If so, pretty horrible for Mr. Trump, if he can't break 45% in FL.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #16 on: June 12, 2020, 10:01:41 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on June 12, 2020, 09:30:56 AM
Is this a GOP pollster? If so, pretty horrible for Mr. Trump, if he can't break 45% in FL.

538 rates them as A/B (meaning provisionally pretty good based on a small number of polls) with a bias of D+1.0.
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CivicParticipant
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« Reply #17 on: June 14, 2020, 07:15:30 PM »
Terrible polling numbers for both again. Biden not going to win this state with 47% in a trash poll.
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