GA (TargetSmart) - Trump +4
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 12:34:50 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  GA (TargetSmart) - Trump +4
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: GA (TargetSmart) - Trump +4  (Read 3147 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 11, 2020, 11:17:09 AM »

Trump - 44
Biden - 40
Other - 8

Trump Approval
Approve - 47
Disapprove - 50 (-3)

321 RV, May 21-27
https://insights.targetsmart.com/Analysis/covid_may_2020_survey_georgia/TSPolling_COVID19_Elections_GA_FIQ_06_03_2020.pdf
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2020, 11:21:13 AM »

That's an awfully small sample.
Logged
YE
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,648


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2020, 11:23:08 AM »

Given the 8-10 point lead nationally, this number makes no sense.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,719
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2020, 11:23:39 AM »

Given the 8-10 point lead nationally, this number makes no sense.

Clock the date.
Logged
YE
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,648


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2020, 11:25:14 AM »

Given the 8-10 point lead nationally, this number makes no sense.

Clock the date.

I mean Biden was still up around ~6 then so I stand corrected.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2020, 11:39:10 AM »

Plausible margin, though that is almost certainly too many third party voters.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 11, 2020, 11:50:43 AM »

Others are not getting 8%.

2% max. for Jorgensen and 1% for Hawkins.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,801
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2020, 12:16:33 PM »

GA is a swing state, due to it being ground zero for runoffs in Senate elections.  GA is gonna vote D
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 11, 2020, 01:05:34 PM »

320 RV sample?
May 21-27?
16% undecided/other?

Junk this
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 11, 2020, 01:11:25 PM »

New Poll: Georgia President by Other Source on 2020-05-27

Summary: D: 40%, R: 44%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 11, 2020, 01:34:51 PM »

Plausible margin but bad methodologically and outdated.
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 11, 2020, 01:54:40 PM »

Likely R
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 11, 2020, 03:33:13 PM »

More like TargetDumb
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,354


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2020, 03:42:58 PM »


True.  To get a real sample of Georgia voters you need to go to Walmart, not Target. Wink
Logged
politics_king
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,591
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 11, 2020, 03:47:16 PM »

KLB, you're on the clock.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,562
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 11, 2020, 06:28:46 PM »

I have come around to believing that Georgia needs to be contested by Democrats, but I could still see the GOP narrowly succeeding here almost entirely because of the voting shenanigans we saw on Tuesday having the potential to repeat itself.
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,268
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 11, 2020, 06:29:59 PM »

mfw a Democratic data firm puts out better numbers for Trump than the OANN poll.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 11, 2020, 11:22:24 PM »

I have come around to believing that Georgia needs to be contested by Democrats, but I could still see the GOP narrowly succeeding here almost entirely because of the voting shenanigans we saw on Tuesday having the potential to repeat itself.

The "shenanigans" that occurred on Tuesday largely had absolutely nothing do with the Secretary of State's office or the GOP broadly-speaking. While this doesn't apply to the relatively large sum of people who never received their mail ballots (this time, it was handled by SoS), the lines, missing equipment, faulty machinery and general lack of skill was entirely on county boards of election and precinct workers.

I've been meaning to do an autopsy on it, but needless to say there were/are several verification steps and choke-points in between the SoS and local elections officials that put the burden squarely on the latter: sheer incompetence at its finest rather than malicious intent.
Logged
Fusternino
Rookie
**
Posts: 184
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 11, 2020, 11:32:54 PM »

I have come around to believing that Georgia needs to be contested by Democrats, but I could still see the GOP narrowly succeeding here almost entirely because of the voting shenanigans we saw on Tuesday having the potential to repeat itself.

The "shenanigans" that occurred on Tuesday largely had absolutely nothing do with the Secretary of State's office or the GOP broadly-speaking. While this doesn't apply to the relatively large sum of people who never received their mail ballots (this time, it was handled by SoS), the lines, missing equipment, faulty machinery and general lack of skill was entirely on county boards of election and precinct workers.

I've been meaning to do an autopsy on it, but needless to say there were/are several verification steps and choke-points in between the SoS and local elections officials that put the burden squarely on the latter: sheer incompetence at its finest rather than malicious intent.

So it was like a Brenda Snipes scenario? Why did Scott never get blamed for voter suppression?

Isn't the SoS also in part responsible for the training for county-level election employees?
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 12, 2020, 12:09:55 AM »
« Edited: June 12, 2020, 12:18:18 AM by Biden/Abrams Voter »

I have come around to believing that Georgia needs to be contested by Democrats, but I could still see the GOP narrowly succeeding here almost entirely because of the voting shenanigans we saw on Tuesday having the potential to repeat itself.

The "shenanigans" that occurred on Tuesday largely had absolutely nothing do with the Secretary of State's office or the GOP broadly-speaking. While this doesn't apply to the relatively large sum of people who never received their mail ballots (this time, it was handled by SoS), the lines, missing equipment, faulty machinery and general lack of skill was entirely on county boards of election and precinct workers.

I've been meaning to do an autopsy on it, but needless to say there were/are several verification steps and choke-points in between the SoS and local elections officials that put the burden squarely on the latter: sheer incompetence at its finest rather than malicious intent.

So it was like a Brenda Snipes scenario? Why did Scott never get blamed for voter suppression?

Isn't the SoS also in part responsible for the training for county-level election employees?

With the new system/machines implemented for this election, every county had to sign off on the number of machines and equipment they received (standardized formula based on each county's RVs as I recall; something like 1 machine for every 250 people), and also had to sign off on their counties either completing adequate training either held by themselves with SoS-provided resources or attend one of the in-person/virtual training sessions offered.

In the end, you still had old ladies trying to ram memory cards into machines for an hour straight before thinking to even turn them over and try the other side.

There are also multiple other points at which each county had to verify functionality and availability, including required tests of every machine, memory card, cables, scanners, etc a few days prior to the election and delivery of machines/equipment to each precinct the night before/morning of the election.

In reality, there were basically 4 chokepoints at which county elections officials had an opportunity to report receiving inadequate numbers of machines or equipment, obtain proper training for their precinct workers, test the machines (and equipment, thereby verifying it was accounted for) and delivering the equipment to each precinct.

The counties and precincts screwed up - and it was overwhelmingly in Democratic counties and precincts where election boards are controlled by Democrats. The state screwed up delivery of some mail ballots, but the state has never handled mail ballot delivery prior - and certainly not in the millions. I'm sure given that most counties had 5-10x the number of mail ballots this time, had they had to handle them as they're usually required, the usual suspects would have screwed it up to a similar extent.



This of course was also the first statewide test of an entirely new voting system. People taking longer to vote as they get familiar with the system increased wait times (as did poll workers not being familiar, either), and social distancing physically lengthened lines.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 12, 2020, 03:06:48 PM »

I didn't think we'd get to the point where Trump being only +4 in a GA poll would be good news for him.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.06 seconds with 12 queries.