YouGov/Yahoo News: Biden +9

[wbrocks67]

June 9-10 for Yahoo! News

November vote
Biden 49%
Trump 40%

Who should Biden pick as VP?
Warren 30%
Harris 24%
Klobuchar 14%
Abrams 14%
Demings 8%
Lance-Bottoms 6%
Whitmer 5%

Who would do a better job of handling the following things?
Protests: Biden 42%, Trump 32%
Coronavirus: Biden 39%, Trump 31%
Race relations: Biden 44%, Trump 27%
Economy: Biden 34%, Trump 37%
Immigration: Biden 42%, Trump 33%
Foreign policy: Biden 40%, Trump 30%

How would you rate Trump?
Great 18%
Near Great 12%
Average 13%
Below Average 11%
Failure 43%

Do you think Trump is a racist? 52% yes, 34% no

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/lmp5wnyq44/20200611_yahoo_race_police_covid_toplines.pdf

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Biden is keeping it nice and close to 50%.

[The Mikado]

Those options for Trump...woah.

I kind of want to see pollsters occasionally use this Great/Near Great/Average/Below Average/Failure scale. It's hilarious.

I don't want to see it become a regular thing because it's useless, but it's hilarious.

[Ferguson97]

Is this the jobs bump or the protest bump?

[Zache]

Nice job numbers bump for Trump. The YouGov/Yahoo News poll from last week was Biden + 8 so he's doing worse.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

SN2903 looking at this poll from banishment.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

71M to 63 M raw vote total is going to plam

[Lief 🗽]

This is basically the same result as the other YouGov poll so I don't think it's a huge deal, but they didn't poll the general election until the 74th question in the survey.

[GeorgiaModerate]

This is basically the same result as the other YouGov poll so I don't think it's a huge deal, but they didn't poll the general election until the 74th question in the survey.

That's normal for YouGov.  They typically ask the GE question well down their (long) list of questions.  Same for Trump approval.  And when they ask GCB, it's usually the very last question.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

SN2903 looking at this poll from banishment.

SN isnt banned, he is just banned from 2020 polls, he can post anywhere else

[wbrocks67]

And despite RCP adding the weekly Economist/YouGov poll, they will not add this one

[South Dakota Democrat]

SN2903 looking at this poll from banishment.

This is the single great post I've seen on this site.  Well done!

[Progressive Pessimist]

Trump still seems to be polling better than Biden on the economy, but it's closer than it should be to truly still be an advantage for Trump. I feel like all Biden needs to say is: "The Obama-Biden administration got the country out of a recession, the Trump administration got us into one."

[Roll Roons]

Trump still seems to be polling better than Biden on the economy, but it's closer than it should be to truly still be an advantage for Trump. I feel like all Biden needs to say is: "The Obama-Biden administration got the country out of a recession, the Trump administration got us into one."

What should be Biden's mantra: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loBe0WXtts8

[Progressive Pessimist]

Trump still seems to be polling better than Biden on the economy, but it's closer than it should be to truly still be an advantage for Trump. I feel like all Biden needs to say is: "The Obama-Biden administration got the country out of a recession, the Trump administration got us into one."

What should be Biden's mantra: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loBe0WXtts8

That's always the way to go for challenging an incumbent President. It's almost become a cliche, albeit an effective one. Biden can definitely make this case more easily than he could have back in early March.

[The Mikado]

Trump still seems to be polling better than Biden on the economy, but it's closer than it should be to truly still be an advantage for Trump. I feel like all Biden needs to say is: "The Obama-Biden administration got the country out of a recession, the Trump administration got us into one."

What should be Biden's mantra: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loBe0WXtts8

That's always the way to go for challenging an incumbent President. It's almost become a cliche, albeit an effective one. Biden can definitely make this case more easily than he could have back in early March.

It's not "always" the way to go, it's the way to go when the answer to the question is No. That's the point, and I see you make it in your last sentence there. Honestly, if you'd asked people six months ago "Are you better off than you were 4 years ago," many (maybe not most, definitely not all, but many) people could say yes, quite sincerely.

Today? Hardly anyone is better off than they were in June 2016.

[Orser67]

Candidate/Great/Near-Great/Average/Below-Average/Failure/DK

Donald Trump 18% 12% 13% 11% 43% 3%
Barack Obama 27% 18% 22% 8% 21% 3%
George W. Bush 7% 13% 42% 21% 13% 4%
Bill Clinton 8% 20% 36% 17% 16% 3%
Ronald Reagan 23% 19% 23% 14% 10% 10%
Jimmy Carter 14% 19% 33% 9% 12% 12%
John F. Kennedy 31% 32% 27% 3% 2% 6%
Dwight Eisenhower 18% 26% 27% 4% 1% 24%
Franklin D. Roosevelt 31% 29% 18% 5% 3% 15%
Abraham Lincoln 48% 27% 14% 3% 2% 7%
George Washington 40% 25% 19% 4% 2% 10%

Interesting to see these numbers split into quintiles instead of quartiles or halves. I enjoy seeing that Jimmy Carter scores higher on the "great"+"near-great" scale than Trump does. Also, Obama has by far the best scores of any living ex-president. I also enjoy seeing the number of people who have no idea what to make of Eisenhower.

[The Ex-Factor]

Jimmy Carter did not have a better presidency than Bill Clinton....also 42% of people thought W. Bush's presidency was average? Do Republicans even believe that?

[The Mikado]

If W is now our average President, with Average meaning, like, half above half below in quality...

Yeah, this is it for us. This is the end.

[Orser67]

Yeah, I also found Bush's huge level of "average" responses to be interesting. My guess is that a lot of people either a)forget the details of his presidency, or b)think he's a good person (especially compared to Trump) and don't want to say he was a poor president, but can't bring themselves to say he was near great either. Then there are also probably some Trumpian Republicans who have ambivalent feelings of the Bush-era GOP.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Yeah, I also found Bush's huge level of "average" responses to be interesting. My guess is that a lot of people either a)forget the details of his presidency, or b)think he's a good person (especially compared to Trump) and don't want to say he was a poor president, but can't bring themselves to say he was near great either. Then there are also probably some Trumpian Republicans who have ambivalent feelings of the Bush-era GOP.

There might also be a generational disparity. Younger, Generation Z respondents who may have been around during Bush's tenure may not remember it very well in comparison to Obama and Trump.

[The Ex-Factor]

Yeah, I also found Bush's huge level of "average" responses to be interesting. My guess is that a lot of people either a)forget the details of his presidency, or b)think he's a good person (especially compared to Trump) and don't want to say he was a poor president, but can't bring themselves to say he was near great either. Then there are also probably some Trumpian Republicans who have ambivalent feelings of the Bush-era GOP.

There might also be a generational disparity. Younger, Generation Z respondents who may have been around during Bush's tenure may not remember it very well in comparison to Obama and Trump.

I have heard this hypothesized as a difference in the attitudes between younger Gen Z people and older millennials, in that the latter remember the Bush years and are thus more loyal to the Democratic Party, whereas those that don't remember the Bush years seem to hold the Democratic Party in lower regard.

https://www.vox.com/2016/9/21/12963334/clinton-millennial-problem

[Ferguson97]

Yeah, I also found Bush's huge level of "average" responses to be interesting. My guess is that a lot of people either a)forget the details of his presidency, or b)think he's a good person (especially compared to Trump) and don't want to say he was a poor president, but can't bring themselves to say he was near great either. Then there are also probably some Trumpian Republicans who have ambivalent feelings of the Bush-era GOP.

There might also be a generational disparity. Younger, Generation Z respondents who may have been around during Bush's tenure may not remember it very well in comparison to Obama and Trump.

Yup. Speaking as a member of Gen Z, there's a terrifying number of people my age who view Obama as the default/baseline/status quo.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Yeah, I also found Bush's huge level of "average" responses to be interesting. My guess is that a lot of people either a)forget the details of his presidency, or b)think he's a good person (especially compared to Trump) and don't want to say he was a poor president, but can't bring themselves to say he was near great either. Then there are also probably some Trumpian Republicans who have ambivalent feelings of the Bush-era GOP.

There might also be a generational disparity. Younger, Generation Z respondents who may have been around during Bush's tenure may not remember it very well in comparison to Obama and Trump.

Yup. Speaking as a member of Gen Z, there's a terrifying number of people my age who view Obama as the default/baseline/status quo.

There's nothing terrifying about having standards.

[Ferguson97]

Yeah, I also found Bush's huge level of "average" responses to be interesting. My guess is that a lot of people either a)forget the details of his presidency, or b)think he's a good person (especially compared to Trump) and don't want to say he was a poor president, but can't bring themselves to say he was near great either. Then there are also probably some Trumpian Republicans who have ambivalent feelings of the Bush-era GOP.

There might also be a generational disparity. Younger, Generation Z respondents who may have been around during Bush's tenure may not remember it very well in comparison to Obama and Trump.

Yup. Speaking as a member of Gen Z, there's a terrifying number of people my age who view Obama as the default/baseline/status quo.

There's nothing terrifying about having standards.

There is if those standards are too high