Obviously. I'd peg the margins as the following for each race-
President- 52/46 Biden
Senate- 52/48 Ossoff
Hopefully it’s a bit higher than that since Abrams won it by 3.5% and still lost. I think we need wins in the upper single digits in both GA-06 and GA-07 to flip the state
Yeah I don't trust those rurals in east/west georgia. They are falling like a stack of dominos and Abrams did worse than Clinton there
How much can we really fall in the white rurals at this point though/
Were not falling because the same thing is going on in NC and SC. A lot of majority and plurality black counties in the black belt are losing a lot of black residents. That is why a lot of the counties are flipping or trending towards the Republicans. Not because Democrats have lost support with rural whites. All rural whites that want to be Republican are already Republican now.
Yes, and the people are moving to Atlanta, Charlotte, Raleigh, Dallas, and other Southern metros. So while counties may be flipping, the votes for these groups are net equal. Of course, it's not just the belt residents migrating to the cities, which is why we can say there is a dem trend in these areas.