Will Ossoff win GA-06 against Perdue?
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  Will Ossoff win GA-06 against Perdue?
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Author Topic: Will Ossoff win GA-06 against Perdue?  (Read 2116 times)
For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
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« on: June 10, 2020, 06:39:18 PM »

Now that everyone except Tomlinson knows that Ossoff will be the Democratic nominee for GA-SEN, how will he do in the district he lost in the 2017 special against Perdue, the guy who’s such a uniquely awesome fit for the Atlanta suburbs?
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2020, 06:41:11 PM »

Yes(sane)
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2020, 06:44:11 PM »

Easily.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2020, 07:01:03 PM »

Easily.
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OneJ
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« Reply #4 on: June 10, 2020, 07:06:42 PM »

Why are you even asking this question? Ossoff won't even come close to a strongly conservative district he already lost and Perdue's suburban strength is undeniable. Might even beat Isakson '16. Titanium R.
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Smash255
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« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2020, 07:28:48 PM »

Yes, easily
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Kevin Graham
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« Reply #6 on: June 10, 2020, 08:44:22 PM »

Why are you even asking this question? Ossoff won't even come close to a strongly conservative district he already lost and Perdue's suburban strength is undeniable. Might even beat Isakson '16. Titanium R.

The funniest thing about this ongoing meme is that Perdue and his family are from the Macon-Warner Robins area. They have never been associated with Atlanta and when Sonny first got into office many Buckhead Republicans thought he was a country bumpkin.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2020, 08:45:07 PM »

Yes, and so will Biden against Trump.
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Esteemed Jimmy
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2020, 08:45:44 PM »

Yes
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2020, 08:50:26 PM »

idk, Perdue is tailor-made for the suburbs just like Jon Tester’s haircut is tailor-made for those Chouteau County populists
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2020, 08:57:40 PM »

Obviously. I'd peg the margins as the following for each race-

President- 52/46 Biden

Senate- 52/48 Ossoff
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2020, 09:00:16 PM »

Obviously. I'd peg the margins as the following for each race-

President- 52/46 Biden

Senate- 52/48 Ossoff

Hopefully it’s a bit higher than that since Abrams won it by 3.5% and still lost. I think we need wins in the upper single digits in both GA-06 and GA-07 to flip the state
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2020, 09:11:30 PM »

Obviously. I'd peg the margins as the following for each race-

President- 52/46 Biden

Senate- 52/48 Ossoff

Hopefully it’s a bit higher than that since Abrams won it by 3.5% and still lost. I think we need wins in the upper single digits in both GA-06 and GA-07 to flip the state
True. I'm not quite there yet on blue Georgia, but I do think at least the presidential numbers are conducive to a very narrow Trump win that could easily go the other way. As for the Senate race, I fear there will be a considerable undervote/non-negligible amount of Biden/Purdue voters.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: June 10, 2020, 09:42:23 PM »

No, only the man, the myth, the legend, Rodney Stooksbury could.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #14 on: June 10, 2020, 09:44:44 PM »

Clinton lost the district and the distict, but the district is taking a strong turn for the Democrats. Will be very close, as Perdue is a an inoffensive R incumbent, and the innoffensive ones tend to do better in the burbs than the offensive ones.
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The Mamdani Virus
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« Reply #15 on: June 10, 2020, 09:45:35 PM »

Yes
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Pericles
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« Reply #16 on: June 10, 2020, 09:52:05 PM »

Clinton lost the district and the distict, but the district is taking a strong turn for the Democrats. Will be very close, as Perdue is a an inoffensive R incumbent, and the innoffensive ones tend to do better in the burbs than the offensive ones.

Didn't Perdue try to cut legal immigration?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #17 on: June 10, 2020, 09:56:26 PM »

Clinton lost the district and the distict, but the district is taking a strong turn for the Democrats. Will be very close, as Perdue is a an inoffensive R incumbent, and the innoffensive ones tend to do better in the burbs than the offensive ones.

Didn't Perdue try to cut legal immigration?

Yeah most people don't pay attention that close. Just as long as you aren't Lindsay Graham, Mitch, or Susan Collins, you're seen as a reasonable R.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #18 on: June 10, 2020, 09:57:12 PM »

Clinton lost the district and the distict, but the district is taking a strong turn for the Democrats. Will be very close, as Perdue is a an inoffensive R incumbent, and the innoffensive ones tend to do better in the burbs than the offensive ones.

Didn't Perdue try to cut legal immigration?
He did, but that isn't enough to shatter the "inoffensive" image he has.
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #19 on: June 10, 2020, 10:04:07 PM »

Karen Handel was "inoffensive" and lost and the district has only gotten bluer. Purdue isn't winning here.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #20 on: June 10, 2020, 10:16:40 PM »

The question isn't whether Perdue is inoffensive or not. The question is if you think Ossoff is going to lose by less/win by more than 50/45 Rep. If he does, then he carries the seat. If the margin is wider, then he loses it. Simple.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: June 10, 2020, 10:36:20 PM »

In this environment,  an expanded Senate map beyond 50 is probable, due to fact Ernst is the tiebreaker and will get Ds over 50 and is losing
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #22 on: June 11, 2020, 12:55:12 PM »

Obviously. I'd peg the margins as the following for each race-

President- 52/46 Biden

Senate- 52/48 Ossoff

Hopefully it’s a bit higher than that since Abrams won it by 3.5% and still lost. I think we need wins in the upper single digits in both GA-06 and GA-07 to flip the state
Yeah I don't trust those rurals in east/west georgia. They are falling like a stack of dominos and Abrams did worse than Clinton there
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YE
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« Reply #23 on: June 11, 2020, 12:56:23 PM »

Obviously. I'd peg the margins as the following for each race-

President- 52/46 Biden

Senate- 52/48 Ossoff

Hopefully it’s a bit higher than that since Abrams won it by 3.5% and still lost. I think we need wins in the upper single digits in both GA-06 and GA-07 to flip the state
Yeah I don't trust those rurals in east/west georgia. They are falling like a stack of dominos and Abrams did worse than Clinton there

How much can we really fall in the white rurals at this point though/
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Kevin Graham
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« Reply #24 on: June 11, 2020, 01:04:01 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2020, 01:07:56 PM by Buckhead Kelly »

Obviously. I'd peg the margins as the following for each race-

President- 52/46 Biden

Senate- 52/48 Ossoff

Hopefully it’s a bit higher than that since Abrams won it by 3.5% and still lost. I think we need wins in the upper single digits in both GA-06 and GA-07 to flip the state
Yeah I don't trust those rurals in east/west georgia. They are falling like a stack of dominos and Abrams did worse than Clinton there

How much can we really fall in the white rurals at this point though/

Were not falling because the same thing is going on in NC and SC. A lot of majority and plurality black counties in the black belt are losing a lot of black residents. That is why a lot of the counties are flipping or trending towards the Republicans. Not because Democrats have lost support with rural whites. All rural whites that want to be Republican are already Republican now.
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