Data For Progress - Biden +13, +10 with adults

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Biden - 54 (+4 since May 26)
Trump - 40 (-6 since May 26)

688 RV

With Adults
Biden - 52 (+1 since May 26)
Trump - 42 (-1 since May 26)

797 A, June 2
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dGGzVgmSaesL4N8JeM07YIfMsT_BJ1yflf-29y_ejcQ/edit

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Their last poll from May 26 (just posted now too on 538):

RV
Biden - 50 (+4)
Trump - 46

686 RV

Adults
Biden - 51 (+8)
Trump - 43

778 A
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dGGzVgmSaesL4N8JeM07YIfMsT_BJ1yflf-29y_ejcQ/edit

[MT Treasurer]

Good poll for Trump but I’m beginning to consider the possibility that the 2016 result isn’t the Democrats' best-case scenario this year. Don’t wanna jump the gun though because I’ve learned my lesson from 2016.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

A heck of a lot of double-digit Biden leads lately.

[SaneDemocrat]

Good poll for Trump but I’m beginning to consider the possibility that the 2016 result isn’t the Democrats' best-case scenario this year. Don’t wanna jump the gun though because I’ve learned my lesson from 2016.

love the sarcasm

[LimoLiberal]

Good poll for Trump! 40% is higher than the 36% he received in a Guardian/SurveyUSA poll released on June 8th, 2016. Using my mind model as well as Excel, I project Trump will receive 50% of the vote, a 4 point increase from the 2016 results because this poll shows him doing 4 points better than he was doing in 2016!

[OneJ]

Great poll from THE Gold Standard!

[MR DARK BRANDON]

But....but..... jobs bounce........ rally around the flag affect for riots.........

[Gass3268]

Change hasn’t been Biden’s best pollster, so this is good news.

This isn't Change. This is a much better pollster, they nailed almost all of the primaries when they were competitive.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

But....but..... jobs bounce........ rally around the flag affect for riots.........

This poll was conducted a week ago so, much as I'd love for it to refute the "jobs bounce" meme, it doesn't actually do so. It is yet another data point against the "riots will help Trump" meme, but that one's been dead for days now anyway.

(I'm still mostly taking a break from the forum, btw, I just wanted to pop in briefly to say this.)

[Lief 🗽]

Does anyone know what these polls were for? Why is D4P releasing them now?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good poll for Trump but I’m beginning to consider the possibility that the 2016 result isn’t the Democrats' best-case scenario this year. Don’t wanna jump the gun though because I’ve learned my lesson from 2016.

Hilary Clinton won the PVI 65 to 63 and Gary Johnson helped Trump win FL, WI, MI and PA

[Landslide Lyndon]

FWIW, this pollster has a B- rating from 538 and has a bias of D+0.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Before jobs number

Most of the jobs coming back are retail jobs that pay mediocre salaries and most people get paid more on unemployment than these part time jobs that are coming back

[tagimaucia]

Does anyone know what these polls were for? Why is D4P releasing them now?

D4P has been doing these weekly polls about COVID-19 and various policy stuff and tweeting/posting about it for more than a couple months now.  The presidential horserace has been part of these polls as well, I guess, but they haven't been putting those numbers front and center at all. As far as I can tell they're just buried in the data and people are puling them out.

[ProudModerate2]

Nice.

[AGA]

I used to think that polls showing Biden up by double digits were outliers, but I will accept that that is where the race is right now considering the quality of the pollster.