YouGov - Biden +8
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Author Topic: YouGov - Biden +8  (Read 1278 times)
Granite City
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« on: June 10, 2020, 09:30:08 AM »

YouGov/The Economist

1,241 RV, 7/6-9/6

Biden - 49% (+2)
Trump - 41% (+1)

Changes from 31/5-2/6

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/ngcg634q9k/econTabReport.pdf
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2020, 09:30:57 AM »

1241 registered voters
MoE: 3.5%

Unsure 5%
Other 3%
Would not vote 2%
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Holmes
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« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2020, 09:32:22 AM »

It’s the job report bump.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2020, 09:32:32 AM »

Well there you have it. A national poll entirely after June 5th that shows Biden's lead widening.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #4 on: June 10, 2020, 09:35:27 AM »

Cut funding for police departments:

Support - 22%
Oppose - 58%
Not Sure - 20%

Continuing to do the opposite of what Twitter wants seems to be a good strategy for Biden.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2020, 09:36:30 AM »

47% strongly disapprove of Trump with under 5 months until Election Day. Tbh that's probably the worst number of all.
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roxas11
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« Reply #6 on: June 10, 2020, 09:44:25 AM »

Cut funding for police departments:

Support - 22%
Oppose - 58%
Not Sure - 20%

Continuing to do the opposite of what Twitter wants seems to be a good strategy for Biden.

This once again proves that twitter is not the real world
thank Goodness Biden moved fast on this and quickly distanced himself from that movement before Trump and GOP could use it against him  
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Illini Moderate
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2020, 09:44:33 AM »

"Junk, toss it."

"Was conducted at the wrong time, doesn't take into account the bump Trump will get from xyz"

"D heavy sample, junk it"

Good for Trump, he's finally polling above 40% again

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SN2903
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2020, 10:00:59 AM »

Need more polls.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2020, 10:03:44 AM »

I'm sure Zogby will come to the rescue.

Or actually, knowing Zogby their next poll will probably be Biden +27 or something.
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Granite City
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2020, 10:05:04 AM »


? It's the June one for me
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2020, 10:14:50 AM »


I see. It works on my laptop. Downloaded four times on the phone to check but I got February each time. I'll delete.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2020, 10:16:34 AM »

My favorite logical leap this week is that we need to junk the polls showing Biden in double digits, because they’re outliers, but then polls showing Biden up by 7 or 8 indicate the race is “tightening” compared to the double-digit leads.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: June 10, 2020, 10:19:05 AM »

If Biden is up 8, TX, FL and AZ are probably locked in for him, which spells trouble for Trump
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #14 on: June 10, 2020, 10:21:48 AM »

Trump response to protests approval
Adults: 36/53 (-17) … -21 LW
RV: 38/57 (-19) … -23 LW

Trump job approval
Adults: 43/52 (-9) … -13 LW
RV: 43/56 (-13) … - 11 LW

Trump virus approval
Adults: 44/50 (-6) … - 11 LW
RV: 42/54 (-12) … -12 LW

Trump fav
Adults: 40/54 (-14) … - 11 LW
RV: 41/57 (-16) … -15 LW

Biden fav
Adults: 43/48 (-5) … -6 LW
RV: 48/50 (-2) … -4 LW

Males: Trump +2 (LW: Trump +1)
Females: Biden +14 (LW: Biden +14)
18-29: Biden +24 (LW: Biden +16)
30-44: Biden +21 (LW: Biden +22)
45-64: Biden +4 (LW: Biden +2)
65+: Trump +7 (LW: Trump +3)
Whites: Trump +5 (LW: Trump +6)
Blacks: Biden +63 (LW:  Biden +69)
Hispanics: Biden +12 (LW: Biden +20)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #15 on: June 10, 2020, 10:22:24 AM »

Biden's favorability among RV actually went *up* this week to just -2. Trump's went *down* to -16. 2016 this is not.
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SN2903
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« Reply #16 on: June 10, 2020, 01:14:31 PM »

My favorite logical leap this week is that we need to junk the polls showing Biden in double digits, because they’re outliers, but then polls showing Biden up by 7 or 8 indicate the race is “tightening” compared to the double-digit leads.
Been no double digit polls since the job number - poll completely after
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: June 10, 2020, 01:36:32 PM »

My favorite logical leap this week is that we need to junk the polls showing Biden in double digits, because they’re outliers, but then polls showing Biden up by 7 or 8 indicate the race is “tightening” compared to the double-digit leads.
Been no double digit polls since the job number - poll completely after


Yeah Biden leading by 8 points is bigger than the 2008 wave which Obama won by 6 and secures FL, NC, AZ and TX; consequently, Hilary already won the PVI 65 to 63, Rs have won the PVI 1× since 1988 and that was in 2004 with 911
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #18 on: June 10, 2020, 01:39:38 PM »

Cut funding for police departments:

Support - 22%
Oppose - 58%
Not Sure - 20%

Continuing to do the opposite of what Twitter wants seems to be a good strategy for Biden.

This once again proves that twitter is not the real world
thank Goodness Biden moved fast on this and quickly distanced himself from that movement before Trump and GOP could use it against him  

It also helps that Bernie quickly shot down the idea. It takes away an easy GOP talking point. If neither Bernie nor Biden support it, then it's just a very small radical minority in the party, and Americans have nothing to fear.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #19 on: June 10, 2020, 01:41:28 PM »

Still a good number for Biden.
Would love for Biden to maintain a +7 to +8 until November (on average).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: June 10, 2020, 01:42:34 PM »

Since COVID 19, Biden has averaged 5 to 8 point leads
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #21 on: June 10, 2020, 02:13:55 PM »

Cut funding for police departments:

Support - 22%
Oppose - 58%
Not Sure - 20%

Continuing to do the opposite of what Twitter wants seems to be a good strategy for Biden.

This once again proves that twitter is not the real world
thank Goodness Biden moved fast on this and quickly distanced himself from that movement before Trump and GOP could use it against him  

It also helps that Bernie quickly shot down the idea. It takes away an easy GOP talking point. If neither Bernie nor Biden support it, then it's just a very small radical minority in the party, and Americans have nothing to fear.

thank god Bernie came out and disavowed it too. Gives Rose Twitter less of a leg to stand on with this issue
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #22 on: June 10, 2020, 03:39:16 PM »

A 2008-ish map is slowly coming into focus. Flip Indiana and Iowa to R and Arizona and Georgia to D. That's what the polls are saying right now.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: June 10, 2020, 06:40:32 PM »

I thought the jobs report bump was supposed to take shape today.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #24 on: June 10, 2020, 07:47:16 PM »

Again, "Twitter isn't real life" pops up only when its convenient
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