MI-EPIC/MRA: Biden with an EPIC 12 point lead in Michigan (user search)
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  MI-EPIC/MRA: Biden with an EPIC 12 point lead in Michigan (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-EPIC/MRA: Biden with an EPIC 12 point lead in Michigan  (Read 3598 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,398
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

« on: June 07, 2020, 06:37:33 AM »

Quote
When asked, without naming a competitor, if they’d “replace” Trump, “re-elect” him, or “consider voting for someone else”, 51% of those polled say they’d vote to “replace” him.

That's an interesting little tidbit. 

I certainly don't expect Biden to take Michigan by double digits, but it's pretty clearly his state to lose at this stage. 
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,398
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2020, 10:07:41 AM »

It's clear that Trump isn't going to win MI.

He's down to holding PAWisconsin to eke out an electoral vote victory.

And his actions speak louder than his words.  He's pouring significant resources in OH and IA--states that should not be in question whatsoever.  

We need to play this game like we're 10 points behind.  But the reality is--Trump is in serious trouble.

Fixed but pretty much. Though if you think he is in more troble in Arizona than Wisconsin, it could make sense.

 Clinton didn't do that. Everyone else saw that and was scared. Senate Democrats did in 2006 and it proved to be a nailbiter.

Actually, I do think Trump is in more trouble in AZ than WI.  And if you think Biden's got PA locked down (I am very hopeful but still a lot of work to do), we don't need to worry about WI.  We have this thing won!

If this is even close to accurate and the result in MI is this lopsided, we won’t be talking about PA/WI/AZ but about TX/IA/AK on election night.

How about Montana, Indy?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,398
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2020, 11:30:15 AM »

This poll undercounted James in 2018

True, the last EPIC-MRA poll taken in 2018 had Stabenow up by 7. Stabenow went on to win by 6.4


Most of them had Stabenow up more though and any poll before the jobs number is not accurate

Panda is correct in that THIS pollster barely overcounted The Stabs in 2018, though.  
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