2022 Gubernatorial and Senate Predictions (user search)
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  2022 Gubernatorial and Senate Predictions (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Gubernatorial and Senate Predictions  (Read 4865 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: June 28, 2020, 11:36:05 AM »
« edited: June 28, 2020, 05:53:25 PM by JAMIE HARRISON »



Safe D CA, CO, CT, HI, IL, ME, MD, MI, MN, NV, NM, NY, OR, PA Shapiro will beat Toomey, RI
Tossup AZ,,FL, IA JD Scholten runs against Reynolds,  KS, Kelly is still popular, NH if Sununu runs for Senate, WI
Safe R AL, AK, AR, GA, ID, MA if Baker runs, NEB, NH if Sununu runs, OH, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX if no Castro doesn't run, VT if Scott runs, WI

Gov races
Dependent on Scholten and which office he runs and Sununu, Baker and Scott running. Kemp is safe, GA reelected its R govs the last 2×s





Senate races dependent on Ryan, Scholten, Ducey, Lamb, Sununu, and Toomey

Safe D CO, CO, CT, HI, IL, MD, NV, NH depending on Sununu, NY,  OR, PA if Toomey retires and Lamb runs,,VT, WA, WI
Tossup AZ,if Ducey runs, IA dependent on Scholten,  NH If Sununu runs, OH if Ryan runs, PA if Toomey runs
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2020, 05:29:39 PM »

JD Scholten probably runs against Gov Reynolds in IA, since he will lose IA 4 District race, this yr. I can see AZ and IA flipping D
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2020, 06:57:08 PM »

JD Scholten probably runs against Gov Reynolds in IA, since he will lose IA 4 District race, this yr. I can see AZ and IA flipping D

Why should IA Dems nominate a 2 times failed House candidate? In a Biden midterm, IA-Gov is lean/likely R anyway.

No its not, Ernst and Reynolds approvals aren't at 50 percent before like they were before Covid they are below 50 percent
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2020, 04:30:15 AM »

We never know how IA and KS will vote, they are tossups each election cycle, but Dems have better succcess, now in KS and KS is an open Senate seat in 2020 and KS Gov is an incumbant reelect and Kelly is an inoffensive Dem like Mark Kelly is
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