DTC'S OFFICIAL 2020 PREDICTIONS
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  DTC'S OFFICIAL 2020 PREDICTIONS
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Author Topic: DTC'S OFFICIAL 2020 PREDICTIONS  (Read 1347 times)
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,209


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

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« on: October 31, 2020, 10:31:56 PM »
« edited: November 02, 2020, 11:16:31 AM by DTC »

Biden will win. The DTC model officially has the 2020 race at:

Maine: Biden + 11
NE-02: Biden + 10
National: Biden + 9.2
Minnesota: Biden + 9
Nevada: Biden + 9
Wisconsin: Biden + 7.5
Michigan: Biden + 7
Arizona: Biden + 6
Pennsylvania: Biden + 6
Georgia: Biden + 2.5
North Carolina: Biden + 2.5
Florida: Biden + 2
Texas: Biden + 1
ME-02: Trump + 0.08
Ohio: Trump + 2
Iowa: Trump + 2.5
Alaska: Trump + 6
Kansas: Trump + 7
South Carolina: Trump + 8
Montana: Trump + 9
Missouri: Trump + 11


Biggest pro-Biden swing will be in Rhode Island: It'll go from Biden + 15.5 to Biden + 29


SENATE


Hickenlooper + 10
Kelly + 8
Peters + 4
Gideon + 4
Cunningham + 2.5
Ossoff + 2
Ernst + 1
Cornyn + 2
Sullivan + 4
Graham + 5
Daines + 5
Marshall + 5
Tuberville + 16

NET GAIN: +4 for dems; dems gain 5 seats, GOP gains 1 seat. GA-Special will go to a runoff.




EDIT:

Changed IA-Senate to Ernst + 1 on Nov 2 2020
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
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United States


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E: 0.39, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 10:40:19 PM »

Seems bullish on Biden. Let's hope you're right.
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7,052,770
Harry
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Ukraine


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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2020, 10:42:06 PM »

Throw in a Warnock win, and I would take that if given the choice today.
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swf541
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 10:45:13 PM »

Quite reasonable
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 10:46:13 PM »

Map megathread is that way
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 12:02:05 AM »

Throw in a Warnock win, and I would take that if given the choice today.
If Trump loses, I think a Warnock win is actually likely.
I expect him to act completely irrational and go full scorched Earth on the party, which will just bring up the old divides that were present long before.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 88,703
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 12:04:06 AM »

Lol we get these final predicting and no one knows how this election is gonna turn out
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,209


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 06:06:16 PM »

Total turnout: 167 million voters
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