IA-PPP: Trump +1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 08:45:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  IA-PPP: Trump +1		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: IA-PPP: Trump +1  (Read 2064 times)
indietraveler
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,039


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: June 05, 2020, 04:08:22 PM »
No.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: June 05, 2020, 04:29:09 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on June 05, 2020, 03:39:24 PM
Trump will win Iowa by over 10%. Mark my words.

This ain’t happening ...

Based on IA voter registration statistics from May and comparisons with May 2008, 2012 and 2016, primary enthusiasm on Tuesday and the likelihood that Indys will break for Biden this year, it’s very likely that IA will be a tossup or Biden +1 or +2.

The Democratic base is enthusiastic there right now, maybe not as much as in 2008 or 2012, but still ... and Indys will help Biden close the gap from 2016.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,047


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: June 05, 2020, 05:40:54 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on June 05, 2020, 03:39:24 PM
Trump will win Iowa by over 10%. Mark my words.

Are you arguing that this poll is junk and we should throw it in the trash?
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,002
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: June 05, 2020, 06:32:22 PM »
It's still probably lean R, but a fairly fragile lean R. Trump will still probably win it, but it will definitely be closer than it should be to a possible embarrassing degree for him.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,019


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: June 07, 2020, 12:53:14 PM »
New Poll: Iowa President by Public Policy Polling on 2020-06-04

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 12 queries.