IA-PPP: Trump +1
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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Trump +1  (Read 2308 times)
indietraveler
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« Reply #25 on: June 05, 2020, 04:08:22 PM »
No.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #26 on: June 05, 2020, 04:29:09 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on June 05, 2020, 03:39:24 PM
Trump will win Iowa by over 10%. Mark my words.

This ain’t happening ...

Based on IA voter registration statistics from May and comparisons with May 2008, 2012 and 2016, primary enthusiasm on Tuesday and the likelihood that Indys will break for Biden this year, it’s very likely that IA will be a tossup or Biden +1 or +2.

The Democratic base is enthusiastic there right now, maybe not as much as in 2008 or 2012, but still ... and Indys will help Biden close the gap from 2016.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #27 on: June 05, 2020, 05:40:54 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on June 05, 2020, 03:39:24 PM
Trump will win Iowa by over 10%. Mark my words.

Are you arguing that this poll is junk and we should throw it in the trash?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #28 on: June 05, 2020, 06:32:22 PM »
It's still probably lean R, but a fairly fragile lean R. Trump will still probably win it, but it will definitely be closer than it should be to a possible embarrassing degree for him.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #29 on: June 07, 2020, 12:53:14 PM »
New Poll: Iowa President by Public Policy Polling on 2020-06-04

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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