IBD/TIPP: Biden regains national lead
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June 13, 2025, 06:47:44 PM
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  IBD/TIPP: Biden regains national lead		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP: Biden regains national lead  (Read 941 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: June 04, 2020, 12:44:56 PM »
It was tied in their last poll about a month and a half ago.
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CivicParticipant
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« Reply #1 on: June 04, 2020, 12:46:48 PM »
He needs to be polling at 10%+ in order to have a remote chance of beating Trump.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: June 04, 2020, 12:58:47 PM »

They have a high rating but have generally been a pretty good pollster for Trump, although this month they show a huge dive in his approval numbers.  Among adults it's 38/51 (vs 44/44 last month) and among RV it's 42/52 (vs 48/46).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: June 04, 2020, 12:59:08 PM »
Quote from: Pear Squad on June 04, 2020, 12:46:48 PM
He needs to be polling at 10%+ in order to have a remote chance of beating Trump.

That's an idiotic statement.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: June 04, 2020, 12:59:39 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 04, 2020, 12:59:08 PM
Quote from: Pear Squad on June 04, 2020, 12:46:48 PM
He needs to be polling at 10%+ in order to have a remote chance of beating Trump.

That's an idiotic statement.
I think it's a joke.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: June 04, 2020, 01:00:13 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 04, 2020, 12:59:39 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 04, 2020, 12:59:08 PM
Quote from: Pear Squad on June 04, 2020, 12:46:48 PM
He needs to be polling at 10%+ in order to have a remote chance of beating Trump.

That's an idiotic statement.
I think it's a joke.

If so I apologize, but with Spark I'm never sure.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: June 04, 2020, 01:10:58 PM »
Well, it was odd that they even had the two tied last month, so it still feels like they have some R-leaning in their poll. However, it's at the same time odd that Trump's approval went from +2 last month to -10 this time in RV, yet Biden only gained 3%. Seems fishy
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YE
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« Reply #7 on: June 04, 2020, 01:11:23 PM »
Quote from: Pear Squad on June 04, 2020, 12:46:48 PM
He needs to be polling at 10%+ in order to have a remote chance of beating Trump.

What?

Even if you swing CA and NY, the two largest blue states, 10 points, that only expands Biden’s lead 2 points IIRC from 2016. This, it is believed that it is going to be very hard for Biden to win the PV by more than 3-4 points and to lose the election. So unless you think Trump will overdo his poll by like 5 points, which is a level of error that is unheard of since 1948, what you said seems a bit outrageous.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #8 on: June 04, 2020, 01:53:25 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on June 04, 2020, 12:44:56 PM
It was tied in their last poll about a month and a half ago.

If we mainly look it at in this manner, then it's decent/good news for Biden.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #9 on: June 04, 2020, 02:47:02 PM »
He's improving in the polls at least. He's probably at 6-7%.
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