AZ (Fox) - Kelly +13

[wbrocks67]

Kelly - 50
McSally - 37

1002 RV, May 30-June 2
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/06/35199d36-Fox_May-30-June-2-2020_Complete_Arizona_Topline_June-3-Release.pdf

Is she gonna get Blanched?

For real though, I get that AZ is trending D, but loosing by double digits? Is McSally really that bad or are polls overestimating Kelly?

I think it's a combo of all 3

AZ trending left
Mark Kelly is a really A+ tier candidate and well liked
conversely, Martha McSally is not well liked, and it probably doesn't sit well with people that she was just handed the spot after she lost

Not to mention AZ really loves their moderates. And her "liberal hack" comment was just so, so Trumpy.

[wbrocks67]

The race is Likely D, but I’m still surprised to see Kelly outperforming Biden by this much.
I wonder if he might have gotten a bit of a subconscious boost from all the SpaceX publicity last weekend.

Kelly was polling high / and in double digits before that