Change Polls FL, MI, NC, PA, AZ, WI
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  Change Polls FL, MI, NC, PA, AZ, WI
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Author Topic: Change Polls FL, MI, NC, PA, AZ, WI  (Read 3285 times)
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 03, 2020, 09:07:34 AM »




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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2020, 09:08:19 AM »

Change is literally less useful than no poll. Stop posting it here please.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2020, 09:08:52 AM »

Hahahahahahahahaha
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2020, 09:10:22 AM »

Thank God this is Change, as those polls are just AWFUL for Uncle Joe in this national climate. He should be leading ALL of those states right now and particularly in MI/PA, he should be leading comfortably.
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Ashley Biden's Diary
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2020, 09:10:49 AM »

They need to fix their PA sampling. Other numbers look OK to about right.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: June 03, 2020, 09:11:31 AM »

Change is literally less useful than no poll. Stop posting it here please.

I hereby propose that they be renamed Strange Research.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2020, 09:14:11 AM »






Literally zero chance Biden wins Florida and North Carolina and loses Pennsylvania.

Junk it.
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roxas11
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« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2020, 09:14:56 AM »

So Biden is winning in Florida and North Carolina
but he is losing in Pennsylvania





   
Change Polls are a joke lol
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Illini Moderate
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« Reply #8 on: June 03, 2020, 09:18:09 AM »

If this were pretty much any other pollster, I'd be very concerned by these numbers. I'm sure RCP will be quick to add this though.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: June 03, 2020, 09:18:34 AM »

Well PA is going red
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2020, 09:21:51 AM »

We can all laugh at the Biden +13 numbers, and all the Dem Establishment were so certain Biden was gonna win PA. No he isnt a lock

I guess Kelly winning by 15 isnt planning out against McSally
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #11 on: June 03, 2020, 09:23:02 AM »

I'm sure RCP will post this immediately, and it will be duly reported by Hannity and Ingraham and their ilk.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #12 on: June 03, 2020, 09:27:20 AM »

Trump leading by 4 in PA, Coupled with the fact that Republicans actually beat Democrats in terms of primary turnout. Feeling pretty good right now.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: June 03, 2020, 09:28:23 AM »

Trump leading by 4 in PA, Coupled with the fact that Republicans actually beat Democrats in terms of primary turnout. Feeling pretty good right now.

I doubt Dems win NC and FL before PA
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roxas11
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« Reply #14 on: June 03, 2020, 09:33:14 AM »
« Edited: June 03, 2020, 09:37:08 AM by roxas11 »

Trump leading by 4 in PA, Coupled with the fact that Republicans actually beat Democrats in terms of primary turnout. Feeling pretty good right now.

Im feeling even better
iBiden is winning in Florida and North Carolina
while being tied in Wisconsin

meaning if Biden takes all 3 trump is in trump is in trouble
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #15 on: June 03, 2020, 09:35:39 AM »

Trump leading by 4 in PA, Coupled with the fact that Republicans actually beat Democrats in terms of primary turnout. Feeling pretty good right now.
The PA primary isnít over 🙄. Mail ballots havenít been counted
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #16 on: June 03, 2020, 09:37:43 AM »

Trump leading by 4 in PA, Coupled with the fact that Republicans actually beat Democrats in terms of primary turnout. Feeling pretty good right now.

We don't know if Republicans beat Democrats in turnout. Pennsylvanian still has a substantial amount of mail in ballots to count, the majority of which are from democrats.
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MidwestPollster
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« Reply #17 on: June 03, 2020, 09:43:15 AM »

And, FWIW, Republican turn out in the 2012 primary resulted in approximately 200K more votes than Obama. Obviously Obama was an incumbent. Obama went on to win PA by about 310,000 In the general.
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SN2903
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« Reply #18 on: June 03, 2020, 09:44:03 AM »

Confirmation that the riots are hurting dems in the Midwest.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: June 03, 2020, 09:45:52 AM »

Confirmation that the riots are hurting dems in the Midwest.

There was a poll done that has Biden plus 7
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SN2903
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« Reply #20 on: June 03, 2020, 09:46:24 AM »






Literally zero chance Biden wins Florida and North Carolina and loses Pennsylvania.

Junk it.
It's not impossible
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SN2903
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« Reply #21 on: June 03, 2020, 09:46:58 AM »

Confirmation that the riots are hurting dems in the Midwest.

There was a poll done that has Biden plus 7
only swing state polls matter
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #22 on: June 03, 2020, 09:50:56 AM »

All of these numbers got added to the RCP database because of the association with CNBC. I cant be that upset because Biden lead in the national aggregate just got bumped up to +8 but it's frustrating nonetheless.
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MidwestPollster
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« Reply #23 on: June 03, 2020, 09:55:41 AM »

Does anyone have a link to the data? It might just be my phone but I am having a hard time finding it. Thanks.
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ucscgaldamez1
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« Reply #24 on: June 03, 2020, 09:59:52 AM »

What is the breakdown in Pennsylvania? Those numbers just don't look right. It can either be confirmed or disproved by subsequent Pennsylvania polls for some trendlines.

SN2903 says that this a "Confirmation that the riots are hurting dems in the Midwest."

Yet Biden is up 2 in Michigan, about the same in Wisconsin from what we have seen and the only one that supposedly confirms this for him is Pennsylvania in one single poll. Trendlines are not set up by one poll. If multiple polls have Trump over 50 in Pennsylvania, then that would be a positive trendline for him to "confirm" but for one state unless others are showing the same thing.
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