Brian Fitzpatrick had a scare
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  Brian Fitzpatrick had a scare
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« on: June 03, 2020, 01:42:41 AM »

He only won his primary by about 56-44 against a... colorful opponent who was not serious at all.

I guess that kind of rules him all but out in a statewide primary for Senate in 2022?
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2020, 04:37:20 AM »

Not surprizing with Republican party more and more resembling a right-wing religious cult..... Decade ago it was "more or less normal conservative party" , now - .... To somewhat lesser extent the same happens in Democratic party too (in mirror image), but - more slowly and in less spectacular way....
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2020, 04:42:11 AM »

Too bad that his Democratic opponent has barely enough funds to buy a Big Mac.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2020, 05:31:44 AM »

"had" a scare? The primary has not been called yet. There are really not that many ballots counted in Bucks at all - I think just Election Day votes at this point.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2020, 07:45:30 AM »

"had" a scare? The primary has not been called yet. There are really not that many ballots counted in Bucks at all - I think just Election Day votes at this point.

Not much more than a hunch, but I expect in-person votes would skew against Fitzpatrick much harder than postal votes.
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Arson Plus
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« Reply #5 on: June 03, 2020, 07:46:28 AM »

Should Andy Meehan win, its Lean D unless the Dem candidate is horrible.
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Orser67
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« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2020, 07:49:09 AM »

Meehan sounds like he could be a pretty terrible general election candidate if he wins the primary:

Quote
After interviewing Meehan, the Bucks County Republican Party declined to consider endorsing him, saying he’d lied about a 2007 DUI conviction, tried to secretly record the party’s endorsement meeting and had previously made “discriminatory statements” on social media.
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Consuming is good, it's what we're made for
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« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2020, 08:34:02 AM »

Has this race been called? Decision Desk has it still undecided. PA's Department of State website is showing almost all votes in with Fitzpatrick still ahead but I'm not sure if that includes mail in votes or not.

Edit: PA Dept. of State has the following:

Fitzpatrick - 29,059 votes - 56.73%
Meehan - 22,165 votes - 43.27%

That's way more votes than DDHQ has in so I'm guessing that does include mail in ballots. Looks like Fitzpatrick did indeed win.
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Badger
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« Reply #8 on: June 03, 2020, 09:55:05 AM »

How the hell do the Bucks County Democrats keep blowing recruitment opportunities to run against Fitz? The guy is obviously vulnerable as hell if we quit running Third Rate candidates against him.
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zoz
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« Reply #9 on: June 03, 2020, 10:05:27 AM »

How the hell do the Bucks County Democrats keep blowing recruitment opportunities to run against Fitz? The guy is obviously vulnerable as hell if we quit running Third Rate candidates against him.

By all means, continue to do do Wink
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2020, 10:47:25 AM »

I still maintain Fitzpatrick is overrated in the general.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: June 03, 2020, 11:05:07 AM »

How the hell do the Bucks County Democrats keep blowing recruitment opportunities to run against Fitz? The guy is obviously vulnerable as hell if we quit running Third Rate candidates against him.

I don't think Finnello is a bad candidate - just depends if she's able to raise money in this environment.

I also think Fitz is very overrated in the fall.
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n1240
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« Reply #12 on: June 03, 2020, 12:54:00 PM »

Has this race been called? Decision Desk has it still undecided. PA's Department of State website is showing almost all votes in with Fitzpatrick still ahead but I'm not sure if that includes mail in votes or not.

Edit: PA Dept. of State has the following:

Fitzpatrick - 29,059 votes - 56.73%
Meehan - 22,165 votes - 43.27%

That's way more votes than DDHQ has in so I'm guessing that does include mail in ballots. Looks like Fitzpatrick did indeed win.

Bucks County finished up a lot of their election day vote and started counted absentees, there are still likely a large amount of absentees to still count there, given the ratio of counted absentees seems low to counted election day votes in their report.

For reference, Fitzpatrick is receiving 79% in a small sample of 1793 absentee votes in Bucks County, and 56% of the vote in the 45728 election day votes there.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: June 03, 2020, 02:09:59 PM »

Bucks is also way behind in counting Dem votes, it appears. Last I checked, Rep votes were like 60K and Dems only 30K
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Libertas Vel Mors
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« Reply #14 on: June 03, 2020, 02:53:36 PM »

Not surprizing with Republican party more and more resembling a right-wing religious cult..... Decade ago it was "more or less normal conservative party" , now - .... To somewhat lesser extent the same happens in Democratic party too (in mirror image), but - more slowly and in less spectacular way....

Because we don't want RINOs who vote minimum wage increases?
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Orser67
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« Reply #15 on: June 03, 2020, 02:59:02 PM »

For reference, Fitzpatrick is receiving 79% in a small sample of 1793 absentee votes in Bucks County, and 56% of the vote in the 45728 election day votes there.

Not that this sample means all that much, but I'm kind of wondering if the whole "conservative distrust vote-by-mail" thing will make in-person voting disproportionately favorable to Meehan.
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n1240
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« Reply #16 on: June 03, 2020, 03:28:51 PM »

For reference, Fitzpatrick is receiving 79% in a small sample of 1793 absentee votes in Bucks County, and 56% of the vote in the 45728 election day votes there.

Not that this sample means all that much, but I'm kind of wondering if the whole "conservative distrust vote-by-mail" thing will make in-person voting disproportionately favorable to Meehan.

There might be some credence to that theory given the disproportionately higher amount of Democratic mail-in ballots.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #17 on: June 04, 2020, 12:41:23 AM »
« Edited: June 04, 2020, 12:52:39 AM by smoltchanov »

Not surprizing with Republican party more and more resembling a right-wing religious cult..... Decade ago it was "more or less normal conservative party" , now - .... To somewhat lesser extent the same happens in Democratic party too (in mirror image), but - more slowly and in less spectacular way....

Because we don't want RINOs who vote minimum wage increases?

Not only. Mostly - because you are a patented fools on lot of  issues. This is only one of them. Fitzpatrick is as much RINO (no comparison with lot of past Republican offceholders, and even now he is not Baker, Scott or even Hogan)  as i am a Pope, and Meehan was a laughinstock of a candidate, especially - in a swing district (absolutely unelectable in GE). But - idiots didn't care, and continue to worship Trump more, then people in the Soviet Union Stalin in 1950th. General malaise of American politics (in BOTH parties). In few years there will be nothing to look for.
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Libertas Vel Mors
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« Reply #18 on: June 04, 2020, 01:37:48 AM »

Not surprizing with Republican party more and more resembling a right-wing religious cult..... Decade ago it was "more or less normal conservative party" , now - .... To somewhat lesser extent the same happens in Democratic party too (in mirror image), but - more slowly and in less spectacular way....

Because we don't want RINOs who vote minimum wage increases?

Not only. Mostly - because you are a patented fools on lot of  issues. This is only one of them. Fitzpatrick is as much RINO (no comparison with lot of past Republican offceholders, and even now he is not Baker, Scott or even Hogan)  as i am a Pope, and Meehan was a laughinstock of a candidate, especially - in a swing district (absolutely unelectable in GE). But - idiots didn't care, and continue to worship Trump more, then people in the Soviet Union Stalin in 1950th. General malaise of American politics (in BOTH parties). In few years there will be nothing to look for.

If a Democrat voted for a minimum wage decrease, you'd primary him. It's as simple as that, but from the other side. If you believe in big government, state control, and high taxes, then you are not a conservative.
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Arson Plus
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« Reply #19 on: June 04, 2020, 07:12:46 AM »

Not surprizing with Republican party more and more resembling a right-wing religious cult..... Decade ago it was "more or less normal conservative party" , now - .... To somewhat lesser extent the same happens in Democratic party too (in mirror image), but - more slowly and in less spectacular way....

Because we don't want RINOs who vote minimum wage increases?

Not only. Mostly - because you are a patented fools on lot of  issues. This is only one of them. Fitzpatrick is as much RINO (no comparison with lot of past Republican offceholders, and even now he is not Baker, Scott or even Hogan)  as i am a Pope, and Meehan was a laughinstock of a candidate, especially - in a swing district (absolutely unelectable in GE). But - idiots didn't care, and continue to worship Trump more, then people in the Soviet Union Stalin in 1950th. General malaise of American politics (in BOTH parties). In few years there will be nothing to look for.

If a Democrat voted for a minimum wage decrease, you'd primary him. It's as simple as that, but from the other side. If you believe in big government, state control, and high taxes, then you are not a conservative.
He's a moderate and wishes for a bigger caucus in the Democratic Party like in the 70s or 80s.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #20 on: June 04, 2020, 01:41:06 PM »

Not surprizing with Republican party more and more resembling a right-wing religious cult..... Decade ago it was "more or less normal conservative party" , now - .... To somewhat lesser extent the same happens in Democratic party too (in mirror image), but - more slowly and in less spectacular way....

Because we don't want RINOs who vote minimum wage increases?
Guess what, the majority of voters of this country(including most republicans) want a minimum wage increase. But fine, keep resisting popular policies. Just dont surprised when it hurts you in elections
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lfromnj
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« Reply #21 on: June 04, 2020, 02:03:23 PM »

Krazen got mad at him(although in the end voted for him)
because he voted for reinstating the VRA section 5.
 
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2020, 04:27:04 PM »

Something to watch: ballots are still being counted in PA-01, but right now:

Dems: 88,544 (55%)
Reps: 73,487 (45%)

Also - Christina Finello (69K) nearly has more votes just herself than Fitz (46.5K) and his challenger (27K) combined.

Not to mention in the 2018 primary, PA-01's primary turnout was 51% D / 49% R. With more votes coming in, we could be looking at D+12 turnout here in the end, or bigger.

All of this together shows Fitz is not a foregone conclusion.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2020, 04:28:58 PM »
« Edited: June 08, 2020, 04:35:43 PM by TrendsareUsuallyReal »

Krazen got mad at him(although in the end voted for him)
because he voted for reinstating the VRA section 5.
 

He's the psychotic dude that went on a rant about Doug Ducey not stopping liberals from moving into Arizona

Different note, it's clear this race is not Likely R, lol. Christina Finello will have plenty of money to get her message out.
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