Orser67
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,946
|
 |
« on: June 02, 2020, 08:41:20 PM » |
|
You can use whatever criteria you want, but here are the elections where the margin in the tipping point state was closer than five points.
2000: 0.01% (FL)
1960a: 0.52% (MO; tipping point state for Kennedy win)
2016: 0.77% (WI)
1960b: 0.80% (NJ; tipping point state for Nixon win)
1948: 0.84% (IL)
1976: 1.68% (WI)
2004: 2.11% (OH)
1968: 2.92% (IL)
1992: 4.65% (TN)
Let me know if I missed an election here, but I will note that in 2012, the tipping point state was CO, which voted for Obama by 5.37%. The biggest surprise appearance on this list for me is probably 1992.
|
