CBS/YouGov: Biden +4
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  CBS/YouGov: Biden +4
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Biden +4  (Read 1448 times)
afleitch
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« Reply #25 on: June 02, 2020, 01:21:52 PM »

For those concerned about 'muh race' in the last 3 polls completed fully since May 31, Trumps lead with white voters on average was 7 points. It was 10 points in 2018, 20 points in 2016, Romney led by 20 in 2012 and McCain by 12 in 2008.
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Tokugawa Sexgod Ieyasu
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« Reply #26 on: June 02, 2020, 03:48:50 PM »

As well, this uses a "likely voter" sample, and most LV polls have been showing Biden steady with a mid-single-digit lead.
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SN2903
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« Reply #27 on: June 02, 2020, 06:26:16 PM »

An incumbent being at 43% five months before the election is not exactly a good thing.
That's a fair point but Biden is struggling to hit 50 in a lot of these polls which suggests a tight race.

Given Biden’s strong performance with independents and voters who dislikes both candidates (which trump won in 2016) I can see undecideds breaking towards him by a substantial margin. I could be wrong though.

Which is why it's suspect to me that in this poll, Trump is winning Indies by 5. Honestly don't see that happening.
Why? Most Independents lean more right.
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