mianfei
Jr. Member
Posts: 321
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« on: September 30, 2020, 07:53:09 AM » |
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I think that the Los Angeles Riots could have certainly hindered Bush, although owing mass incarceration communities most affected by the riots would most likely not have possessed many voters. Not to mention that these communities’ policy preferences were (and are) likely off the map compared to major party voters.
However, there is no doubt that trust in Bush Senior on law and order would have fallen after his failure in the Los Angeles Riots. Rural voters, always the most volatile, undoubtedly desired someone different because they could not easily forgive Bush for his failures in curbing racial violence. Critically, there was not one but two alternative candidates who could appeal to rural whites – utterly unlike the post-Bill-Clinton era. This explains why Bush gained two-thirds of the vote in only seven counties, whereas Trump in 2016 did so in over half the nation’s counties. I would say, though, that in (many of) these rural counties Planned Parenthood v. Casey, decided two months later, might have been a slight counterweight because both Clinton and Perot were pro-choice.
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