Moore County, TX

[walleye26]

In 2020, Clinton improved on Obama in this county in the Texas Panhandle, going from 19.3% to 20.8% with Trump falling from 79 to 75%. What happened? Was this a dead cat bounce or something weird?

[I’m not Stu]

Dead cat bounce.

[Indy Texas]

If a county already overwhelmingly votes for one party, occasional modest swings to the other party can happen just because there's nobody left for the party to pick up.

The Democratic vote going from 19.3 to 20.8 is just statistical noise. The Republican vote falling from 79 to 75 is about the residual dissatisfaction with Trump in small corners of the GOP electorate at the time.

[TML]

This appears to be one of a number of counties in TX where there wasn't much room left for Republican gains in 2016 (check out the swing map for that year's election for this state and you'll see the details).

[jimrtex]

In 2020, Clinton improved on Obama in this county in the Texas Panhandle, going from 19.3% to 20.8% with Trump falling from 79 to 75%. What happened? Was this a dead cat bounce or something weird?

It is majority Hispanic, though not at the CVAP level.

[Cokeland Saxton]

It's as R as it could get. I'm honestly tired of seeing this type of thread.

[HAnnA MArin County]

I’m not sure if this explains it, but this county does have a much higher Asian population than virtually all other rural counties in Texas. Interesting article about the place.