Is New Haven county, CT trending GOP?
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  Is New Haven county, CT trending GOP?
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Author Topic: Is New Haven county, CT trending GOP?  (Read 1294 times)
iceman
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« on: May 31, 2020, 10:24:37 AM »

The percentages of Democrats in elections have been decreasing in recent years.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2020, 10:36:14 AM »

It's experiencing the same trends as a lot of other formerly industrial Northern counties, but Yale's presence and influence will keep the Democratic floor high. Could still go R in a substantial win.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2020, 06:35:39 PM »

It definitely won't go Republican anytime in the near future but it could slightly trend Republican because there are a lot of working class towns nestled between New Haven (city) and Fairfield County.  Basically that whole area between Trumbull and the city of New Haven, with a few exceptions, is all working class whites.
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Vidal
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« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2020, 09:33:10 AM »

The part of Connecticut to watch is the 2nd CD/Windham and Tolland Counties. When Courtney retires, that could become a real race.
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iceman
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« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2020, 04:53:51 PM »

In comparison for Gubernatorial election:

2014

Statewide:

50.73%-48.16% DEM

New Haven County:

53.37%-45.56%


2018

Statewide:

49.37%-46.21% DEM

New Haven County:

49.39%-47.37% DEM


That tells something, it was lot more left of the state in 2014 and it was slightly to the right of the state in 2018.

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voice_of_resistance
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« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2020, 05:12:28 PM »

Stefanowski was from North Haven which explains it partly. Also Connecticut on a gubernatorial level is much purpler than it is federally.
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iceman
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« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2020, 01:50:05 AM »

Stefanowski was from North Haven which explains it partly. Also Connecticut on a gubernatorial level is much purpler than it is federally.

Well, it did vote also slightly to right of the state in the 2018 senate elections, compared to 2016.
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Camaro33
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« Reply #7 on: June 09, 2020, 08:53:57 PM »
« Edited: June 09, 2020, 09:01:49 PM by Camaro33 »

Connecticut voted slightly right in 2018 relative to 2016 because during midterms and state elections here the political matrix is totally different since it is about the state without influence from other states.

While the state is a bit "purpler" on the state and local levels, don't let the term "purple" scare or interest you. A huge share of our Republicans are honestly just moderate centrists and soft Democrats under the lens of a national policy perspective. Our Democrats thus are more left than average - just like our PVI.

I laugh whenever this forum suggests CT is trending Republican or will vote as such in the future. For those of you believing that koolaid, please come here and meet our "Republican" candidates or our "Republican" first selectmen and town mayors in the rural townships. They'd be Democrats on this forum. They just happen to be to the right of the Democrats they run against - and they still always lose.
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voice_of_resistance
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2020, 01:04:49 PM »

Connecticut voted slightly right in 2018 relative to 2016 because during midterms and state elections here the political matrix is totally different since it is about the state without influence from other states.

While the state is a bit "purpler" on the state and local levels, don't let the term "purple" scare or interest you. A huge share of our Republicans are honestly just moderate centrists and soft Democrats under the lens of a national policy perspective. Our Democrats thus are more left than average - just like our PVI.

I laugh whenever this forum suggests CT is trending Republican or will vote as such in the future. For those of you believing that koolaid, please come here and meet our "Republican" candidates or our "Republican" first selectmen and town mayors in the rural townships. They'd be Democrats on this forum. They just happen to be to the right of the Democrats they run against - and they still always lose.
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voice_of_resistance
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2020, 01:10:28 PM »

"muh Rhode Island will be Safe R in 2036"
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