Would Corey Booker do better if the George Floyd murder happened before he dropped out?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Would Corey Booker do better if the George Floyd murder happened before he dropped out?
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Author Topic: Would Corey Booker do better if the George Floyd murder happened before he dropped out?  (Read 589 times)
darklordoftech
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« on: May 30, 2020, 02:58:27 PM »

Would he benefit from a desire for criminal justice reform?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: May 30, 2020, 03:02:22 PM »

This is probably one for the 'what if's board, but he would have done marginally better in that he could get a fundraising boost and maybe a polling bump, especially if it happened post-Harris' departure.

However, it would not have saved his doomed candidacy, or allowed him to break out of the pack. It's much harder to get out of the 1-4% doldrums than it it go from, say, 20% to 25%, and he struggled with the former of these two problems throughout his time in the cycle.

I believe the Booker campaign was too optimistic to win the nomination for someone starting on the outside track in 2020.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #2 on: May 30, 2020, 08:16:36 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2020, 08:20:40 PM by Tartarus Sauce »

Booker’s problem was that Biden was already the black community’s candidate of choice. Would they have shifted to a different preference if this incident occurred during the primary? Maybe, but I doubt it, and I seriously doubt that Booker would have ended up being the main beneficiary in the long run.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2020, 08:50:26 PM »

Booker’s problem was that Biden was already the black community’s candidate of choice. Would they have shifted to a different preference if this incident occurred during the primary? Maybe, but I doubt it, and I seriously doubt that Booker would have ended up being the main beneficiary in the long run.

I agree with this analysis.  The main problem was Biden.  Then the backup, especially for black women, would have been Kamala.  Booker could never break through.
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McGarnagle
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« Reply #4 on: May 31, 2020, 12:07:47 AM »

If Biden had not run, possibly
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